JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/30/2020

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Dan Szymborski

12:29

Maybe 30%. No.

Sox Fan

12:29

Who says no first, Mookie and David Price to the Dodgers for Verdugo, Keibert Ruiz and Jeter Downs. Sox pick up 11 million a year of Prices contract.

Dan Szymborski

12:29

I'd be shocked if the Dodgers did that.

TomBruno23

12:30

Do you agree with the Cardinals essentially punting this off-season? Gawlowski's article was on-point https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-cardinals-may-have-missed-an-opportuni...

Dan Szymborski

12:30

I'm not sure if they think they're punting, but it's been a really lame offseason for them, especially in light of nobody in the NL Central trying really hard to get better other than the Reds

Jason N

12:31

Do you think the Cubs salary constraints are about maximizing cash flow, or minimizing luxury tax (i.e. dead/unproductive money)? Seems that could influence whether they would be interested in a Bryant swap where they have to take back a contract with high cash out but low luxury tax number (think: would they take on Wil Myers in a swap like the Sox are considering)?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

Why not both?

I can't see them being interested in a Bryant swap that *neither* gets them prospects or huge savings.

pakkap

12:32

aj pollack, tony gonsolin, and keibert ruiz for betts and price. price has three/96 remaining on his deal. pollack has four/47, but there's an 5mm opt out for 2023 (which you'd assume boston would exercise), so you can figure out a way for boston to eat some of the price money and minimize/eliminate luxury exposure for la.

pollack is a legit bat who would probably play up in the al with a day a week at dh. ruiz and gonsolin alone give boston a potential battery (or even a closer). betts speaks for himself and slots right into centerfield for la, price is a legit back end option among the passel of arms la has secured, and losing pollack off the payroll helps with flexibility.

Dan Szymborski

12:33

I just don't think that any of these scenarios in which the Dodgers give up any prospect that good are likely to be ones the Dodgers are interested in.

TomBruno23

12:33

Scarborough "Bert" Green, great deep cut. Same high school as Ryan Howard and David Freese. You're welcome.

Jason N

12:33

Chili must have tomatoes in it.

Dan Szymborski

12:33

No.

12:34

Beef. Chili peppers. Seasoning. Only acceptable addition is some masa harina if you want to thicken it up a wee bit.

Beetlejuice

12:34

How does ZIPS like Castellanos after his breakout year? BABIP and ISO seem about right given move to Wrigley and his UZR has improved. Other projections aren't kind but is there reason for optimism in Cincinnati?

Dan Szymborski

12:35

There's always the chance that something improved permanently in Chicago.

But if this were more likely than not, then a "last two month" projection system would perform better for players who had huge last two months. It doesn't.

12:36

Castellanos is fine, but I don't think there's actually a breakout here.

Cool Dick Lovelady

12:37

Puig should come play for the Royals. Then we can be DJ Yaaaas and LL Cool D.

TomBruno23

12:37

Which team is the Skyline Chili of MLB, and why?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

There's no team as bad as Cincy chili

Johnny5alive

12:38

Not to get political, but apparently it's perfectly ok for a president to do whatever he wants to help his re-election chances. What are the odds we even have an election in November?

Dan Szymborski

12:38

100%

Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes

12:38

Do people pronounce "wOBAcon" as "woe-bacon" or sort of like "Lake Wobegon" like "WOH-buh-con?" I'm concerned that I'm way out of line by doing the latter.

Dan Szymborski

12:39

I say woe-bacon

Anonymous

12:39

there is literally a baseball player named 'Winter Polo'

Dan Szymborski

12:39

I like players who sound like snooty English butlers or harry potter characters

Chadwick Tromp, Callix Crabbe

OddBall Herrera

12:39

On a scale from carpaccio to burned campfire marshmallow, how cooked do you think Votto's career is?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

slightly overseared sea scallop

12:40

Will you still be needed for chats when ZiPS becomes sentient?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

One could say I'm not really needed now.

OddBall Herrera

12:40

Right now Fangraphs' ad widget is showing me an awkward political ad where Mike Bloomberg is offering to be my budget OB/GYN. What did I google to deserve this?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

Tom Steyer Tentacle Porn

Them

12:40

I don't think I am as secure in any belief I hold as you seem to be in your opinions about chili. I envy the strength of your conviction, even as I question its validity.

Dan Szymborski

12:41

You can question it all you want, you'd just be wrong.

Chad

12:41

Spencer Turnbull has any ceiling? Seems like a 4/5 at best but minors numbers solid and he gave up minimal homers last year during HomerFest2019

Dan Szymborski

12:41

I don't see much of a ceiling, but I think he's a good inning eater.

12:41

Beef, chili peppers, and seasoning is gonna be an awfully dry chili

Dan Szymborski