JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/7/2021

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Dan Szymborski

12:14

Because of Eaton, I don't expect a significant signing.

12:15

I expect it to be used to rest Jimenez/Abreu and maybe Vaughn later and th at's hard to bring in a big bat there

Stevil

12:15

Personally, I believe that if Seattle truly believes Evan White is their future at 1B, they should start him in Tacoma this year and give him all the time he needs to fix his swing, approach, and find his confidence and promote him only when he really looks ready. But how likely is that to happen given the Gold Glove and their belief that he makes good decisions at the plate and was simply unlucky much of the time?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

ZiPS for one has absolutely hated White's stats, so you wouldn't get an objection from the computer

12:17

I personally would, but I expect the Mariners to keep him in the majors unless he really can't work out his issues

12:18

Not sure that the gold glove creates that much pressure

Nobody was burning to play Yolmer Sanchez in 2020

Curtis

12:18

Who are your favorite players to watch live, regardless of "stats"? Current? All time?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

All time RICKEY

12:19

Hader's fun to watch

It's fun to watch Gallo try to break the air

an d MOOKIE

Inaccessible Rail

12:20

If a player goes undrafted in the amateur draft, then plays and excels in an independent league, is this player essentially a free agent who can sign with any team?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

Once they're no longer and amateur and they go undrafted, they're free agents as far as I know

mike

12:20

kyle lewis, jarred kelenic, taylor trammell, julio rodgieuz, mitch haniger. who is the starting outfield to start 2022 for the M's?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

I don't imagine Kelenic *starts* 2021 on the team or Rodriguez gets more than a cup of coffee at most.

12:21

I wouldn't be surprised to see trammell/lewis/haniger

though that depends on haniger's health

Barrett

12:21

Will ZiPS include wRC+ in the pre-season projections? I'm going to keep asking this every year, sorry :)

Dan Szymborski

12:21

Doesn' FG usually calculate it when it's live? I forget right now

Curtis

12:21

How long did it take you to develop ZiPS from the first time you thought about it until it's launch? Which part(s) were most time consuming?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

How to start! I't sa big undertraking

Marshall

12:21

In your projections next year, it would be awesome if you provided a distribution rather than just the mean estimate. For example, 10%, 25%, 75%, and 90% projections would be awesome so we can get a better idea of upside and downside.

Dan Szymborski

12:22

Actually doing that for hitters this year

I still don't have the calibration for pitchers as tight as I want

Rick

12:22

The Nationals’ farm system looks pretty empty, and their pitching core is aging. Do you think they can trade/buy their way out of this coming problem, or do you think they’re going to face a rough couple of years soon?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

I think there will be a down period

Gunther Centralperk

12:22

When will this year’s projections be available? Particularly interested in Kershaw. His 2021 outlook has gotta be better than a year ago. Thank you.

Dan Szymborski

12:22

For individual players, they're mostly available in the team by team rundowns!

Guest

12:22

Why don't teams trying to make upside plays (say players coming off injuries or down years) sign them to deals with a team option at the end? I come from following the NBA, so I don't know the MLB CBA too well, but I wish the Giants would sign some of these guys to 1+1s.

Dan Szymborski

12:23

Well, teams *do* do this

see Garrett Richards

oh wait

that wasn't an option

but it IS done

Jeff

12:23

I saw the Cubs got a positive article on MLB.com yesterday. Does this mean they have dropped enough payroll to lift the embargo finally?

Dan Szymborski

12:23

OIuch!

12:24

Anyway, there's nothing in the CBA that prevents these contracts

Inaccessible Rail

12:24

Did the lack of minor league play in 2020 serve to show how important the minors are or did it do the opposite, provide evidence that player development doesn't need minors? Or was the year just too weird for any of that?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

I don't think we can draw any conclusions because we don't know the consequences.

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