JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/9/2020

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/9/2020

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Dbo

12:47

We had a cereal tasting at Christmas at my parent's house, Nilla Wafer cereal is trash but Nutter butter cereal is decent, my sister forgot to bring the Sour Patch Kids cereal

Dan Szymborski

12:47

ewww

Magic Kingdome

12:48

Which airplane seat would you pick: aisle seat in last row next to bathrooms, window seat in next to last row, or middle seat in exit row?

Dan Szymborski

12:48

aisle seat.

I never sit at window and definitely not middle. If I have to choose a non-aisle seat, I'll upgrade to business or first class

trophy

1

TomBruno23

12:49

I can't stop listening to Badfinger this week. No reason or explanation. Will I be ok?

Dan Szymborski

12:49

Good band, sad story.

Tim Tebow's Thunder Thighs

12:49

Where do you stand on ramen? I'm about to try some cheese/fromage ramen with frozen chicken and I'm both excited and terrified.

https://www.amazon.com/Paldo-Cheese-Fromage-Ramyun-Noodle/dp/B00S7U23D...

Dan Szymborski

12:49

I enjoy ramen. Have not had that before though.

I tend to like the more noodly than soupy varieties

Like I really enjoy the Indomie ramens.

12:50

And I have a bunch of these at the house.

Alex

12:50

Gary Sanchez has BABIPs of .197 and .244 over the last two seasons. Is he just one of the unluckiest players in baseball or are there exterior factors such as foot speed that you think really depress his BABIP?

Dan Szymborski

12:50

Foot speed and stuff can hurt, but nobody's a .197 guy

Pitchers aren't .197 BABIPers

12:51

Freaking Randy Johnson had a .238 BABIP. His approach at the plate was Giant Confused Wendigo

laughing

1

Tim Tebow's Thunder Thighs

12:51

Made some venison burgers the other day. Very gamey sandwich but very good.

Dan Szymborski

12:51

I don't get venison that often. The last time was when I shared some Arby's venison with Galileo.

vomit

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crying

2

12:52

He got 1/2 of one, I got the other 1 1/2.

He enjoyed the cabernet juniper sauce as well

Billy Beane

12:52

every time I see someone vote for Vizquel for the HoF I become the 'I fell like I'm taking crazy pills' GIF.

jamesdakrn

12:52

Also: ZiPS does take expected stats from Statcast into account right?

Noticed that in the rather bullish take on Lux, that his expected stats in his limited stint int he MLB was better than I thought.

His actual line: .240/.305/.400, .301 wOBA

His expected stats from BaseballSavant: .288/.349/.455, .343 xwOBA, which for Dodger Stadium would've translated to about 113-117 wRC+

Dan Szymborski

12:52

ZiPS has its own expected stats model.

I will implement as much data from a myriad of sources as I can, but all the calculations are things I've developed.

TomBruno23

12:52

Marcell Ozuna returns to STL on a 1 year PILLOW deal. Right?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

He's good enough that it'll be better than a pillow

jamesdakrn

12:53

LASTLY: Will you be incorporating the new infield outs above average from Statcast into future iterations of ZiPS?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Haven't given that much thought

matthew

12:53

sorry for the basic question, but is there a place I can read about how ZiPS works differently from other projection systems?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

It's hard to say as I don't know all the inner workings of the other projection systems.

But I try to answer as many questions as I can

john

12:53

will the mlb still exist in 2050

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Yes.

12:54

We're already off the Deep Space Nine timeline. Buck Bokai has not debuted and there are no London Kings.

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1

We're also clearly not in the Super Baseball 2020 timeline as we do not yet have robot players an dthere's only three months until the season starts.

TomBruno23

12:54

Do you know Steven Goldman? I'm an avid listener of The Infinite Inning and think you would be a great guest in the rotation.

Dan Szymborski

12:54

I know him and have been on before.

https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/fanrag-sports-network/the-infinite-in...

12:55

All us 90s baseball nerds know each other.

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