Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 10/10/16
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Dan Szymborski
12:12
Haven't been in the BBWAA long enough. Need 10 years for the vote.
12:13
The majority of members do not have a BBWAA - the median year of joining for a BBWAA member now is 2007.
12:14
And despite the picture of a ton of ancient BBWAA members, there are only 37 pre-1980 members now.
Minty
12:14
What do you, or ZIPS, think of Moncada in 2017?
Dan Szymborski
12:14
More cheating!
Matt
12:14
Do you believeland in Cleve?
Dan Szymborski
12:14
I appreciate puns.
12:15
People were mad at Hoynes, but not having Carrasco and Salazar *is* a fairly serious thing.
Erik
12:15
Do you think there's any hope of MLB changing the replay rule with regards to players coming off the bag for a fraction of a second on tag plays? Do you think the MLB wants to change the rule?
Dan Szymborski
12:16
Baseball spins a giant wheel to determine rule changes, so it's possible.
CamdenWarehouse
Dan Szymborski
12:16
Heh
12:17
I should note there's still a moratorium on Markakis questions because I know you guys are trying to troll me.
Minty
12:17
Technically Baez was out, but only baseball can screw up the spirit of the rule when most say that he still should've been safe.
JT
12:17
I know the giants bench sucks and he did technically reach base but can we stop using madbum as a pinch hitter/DH? Good hitting pitcher or not this is still a guy with a career 49 wRC+ and 14 home runs
Dan Szymborski
12:17
I agree.
Matt
12:17
You should rename the next iteration of ZiPS. I'm thinking BuTTONS. It's more chic.
Erik
12:17
In whose interest is it to keep the divisional round only 5 games? Are the players that opposed to lengthening the season by a game or two?
Dan Szymborski
12:17
Baseball has this weird obsession with not letting a game go into November, like that would be Threat Level: Midnight
The majority of major league cities have a higher average temperature on November 1st than on April 5th.
Sonny
12:18
Lots of talk about Red Sox inexperience costing them which glosses over how young this Cleveland team is
Dan Szymborski
12:19
It's the usual bullshit ipso facto, ex post facto.
CamdenWarehouse
12:19
Any chance Jones moves out of CF next year? He's no longer good (if he ever was).
Dan Szymborski
12:19
The orioles would need both a desire to do it and the ability to make major changes.
DN
12:19
Would you trade Reed or Familia this offseason?
Dan Szymborski
12:19
Always depends on offer.
Sonny
12:20
Lost in Chapman review today, Buster Posey now hitting roughly .650 against Aroldis. Bananas
Fire Kevin Cash
12:20
Just read Dave's great slide rule piece. Here's what I don't get about arguing to keep the status quo: sure it's always been the rule, but no one ever got called out for not maintaining contact or doing a pop up slide before replay. Isn't calling people out for this the new change, not letting it "slide"? I feel like we should be approaching for any rule discussions or "spirit of the game" arguments for this by treating the vertical extension as the norm and outs as the new idea, even if the rules disagree.
Dan Szymborski
12:20
I'm a rules guy. Either enforce the rules or change the rules.
Matt
12:20
This morning, due to the suggestion of someone else, I put more thought than 0 into signing Rich Hill. Obviously, he holds the risk of "guy who was never successful at pitching or even just being on the mound", but he also changed his approach, and has almost no mileage on his arm. This something like 3/$38M is reasonable? Maybe slightly lower with more in IP-based incentives?
Dan Szymborski
12:20
He'll get more than that.
There's too much money chasing very few good pitchers this winter.
CardsFan12
12:21
I don't understand the hatred for the reviews of people coming off the base and being called out. The people who want robot umps want to give the umpires another judgement call. This has always been the rule we just didn't have the technology to enforce it to this detail.
Sonny
12:21
Baltimore offseason: Stalk Brewers and beat them to whichever scrap heap guys they're targeting
The Decedent Moose
12:21
Rumors abound that the Cardinals are going to extend Matheny to avoid a lame duck season. Still haven't gotten word on my extension, what with having done an equal amount of work managing the bullpen.
Dan Szymborski
12:21
My position on Matheny's bullpen management is well-described by a tweet I made about 6 months ago.
"If I had to demonstrate to someone what Mike Matheny's bullpen usage is like, I'd drop 500 spiders into a kindergarten class."
Erik
12:22
What is the largest contract signed this winter and who is the recipient? (cespedes I would assume)
Dan Szymborski
12:22
I would assume that as well if he opts out. If he doesn't, Bautista.
Trevor
12:22
So what are the odds that Buchholz gets absolutely shelled tonight? And how is it possible for them to be over 100%?
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