JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 10/15/18

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All Cats Are Beautiful

12:40

How many people have seen the entire ZiPS code?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

I think 3 and some cats

Morbo

12:41

way too early prediction which non-Mets team is the biggest disappointment of 2019?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

Rockies could be if they don't address their fundamental issues

They've been riding on having everything go right with the pitching and having two MVP candidates in the lineup every eyar

Syndergaardians of the Galaxy

12:41

The Mets were very patient with onetime top prospect Zack Wheeler, and he finally fulfilled that promise this year, five years after his initial appearance with the club. Who are the other players who have been disappointing so far who might finally break through this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

Now this I'm saving for aticles!

Poncho

12:42

I love the way you're ZiPSing prospects in your Elegy series but the Padres have more interesting prospects than you could get to. What does ZiPS think about Urias and Mejia next year?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

It's only a sneak preview of a prelim projections. The ZiPS team-by-teams will go up as usual

Devil Ray Jay Johnson

12:42

I bet Ned Yost makes a good chili

Rockpile

12:42

Do you think the Rockies could move some of their bad reliever contracts this offseason by matching up for a bad position player contract? I'd be in to getting Jay Bruce from the Mets if we could get him for Jake McGee or something like that.

Dan Szymborski

12:42

Rockies should be more interested in eating bad contracts than swapping problems, honestly

12:43

Bruce would have been fine for this year only since they weren't going to trust a Tapia or something

but that shouldn't be what they do going forward

James

12:43

How much do you trust Kimbrel at this point?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

He's no longer elite, but unless it appears he's "Going Wohlers," I don't think panicking over a few bad outings is a good idea

Devil Ray Jay Johnson

12:45

Angels Test: 1. Do you bench Albert Pujols? 2. Are you sure? 3. Do you need a ride to the airport because we are done?

Matt

12:45

The Mets are administering a two question written test to GM candidates. Question 1 - do you like to spend money? Question 2 - Is Jeff Wilpon the smartest or the smartestest?

James

12:45

With Sale having an illness and Porcello throwing yesterday, how do you see Boston's pitching shaking out the rest of the way?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

I think it REALLy depends on just how Sale is feeling, which is kind of unknowable

12:46

I don't th ink Porcello's inning changes his start

Consider it his throwing day between starts

12:47

I believe they're hopeful on getting Sale back

They might have to get a Rodriguez start in there if he's not

Pablo

12:47

Is Mike Trout's greatness leading other players to get underrated? There seems to be a narrative out there that Trout should win MVP every year, largely in part as a response to the fact that he's at an inherent disadvantage because the Angels suck, but it seems like this leads Mookie Betts to get knocked down a peg despite being more than half a win better than Trout this year.

Dan Szymborski

12:47

It's actually possible, but I think it's more likely that the players that are actually challenging Trout this year are also very well-rounded

12:48

And very well-rounded players without the one ULTRASEXY stat (though Betts has BA this year) tend to be underrated

Mac

12:49

How does Zips handle LOOGYs and platoon players? Does it just assume the player faces the same ratio of righties: lefties as he has in the past?

Dan Szymborski

12:49

Yup. I try to avoid telling ZiPS to do something specific unless I have to (a player definitely being moved to a position or stuff like that) or I'm doing a secnario

hscer

12:49

what I want to know is if those Angels managerial candidates are having to take these tests at a Pearson center

botchatheny

12:49

zips is gonna destroys wainos 2019, right? why did the cards sign him? other than him like, being a nice guy or something

LFC Mike

12:50

Sell me on Gore as your favorite pitching prospect.

Dan Szymborski

12:50

I think he'll have four plus pitches by the time he reaches the majors and I"m not worried about blisters

But I could be wrong, Whitley may be better

12:51

(and it was who I would take if I was starting a team, I'll go with the riskier, younger guy generally in this scenario)

Devil Ray Jay Johnson

12:51

If the Angels are considering anyone from the Cardinals for manager, I bet he gets the job since he will already have the test answer key.

All Cats Are Beautiful

12:51

I’d like the players fight for 2 rule changes in the next CBA.

1. The MLBPA has a right to match any offer when a team is up for sale.
2. The MLBPA may own multiple teams.

No more greedy owners in a generation or so if the players are the owners.

Dan Szymborski

12:51

You'd have some weird results.

Plus a consortium of players may not be properly capitalized

CamdenWarehouse

12:51

any idea when the next game chats are?

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