JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 10/29/18

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$40 Million

1:19

Who will be the first $40 million/year player?

Dan Szymborski

1:19

Trout

Purple Mays Haze

1:20

Are your ZIPS PAs/IPs role-agnostic (in that you just base it on previous years playing time)? Say if a team announces that a pitcher will be an RP (and has previously been an SP), do you lower the IPs in the projection? If so, do you "improve" the rate stats?

Dan Szymborski

1:20

I do have a button for pure RP and pure SP, but I try to keep my opinion out of it as much as I can

B.BimBap

1:20

I don't understand how the Mets don't want to emulate the Rays success and poach a GM from within the Rays org. What is wrong with the Mets?

Dan Szymborski

1:20

They don't want to emulate the Rays tendency for the owners to not be backwards and want teams to be run like it's 1951.

Guest

1:21

how do you think MLB will tackle the low ratings for the WS?

Dan Szymborski

1:21

Well, for one thing, ratings have been in a slow, steady, nearly unchanged rate of decline since the 70s

1:22

Problem is, there's a lot more competition in entertainment than there was in 1950.

I think they'd like the games to go quicker, but only so long as they don't have to actually do much that would make the games go quicker.

And I don't know if that really affects the ratings.

1:23

Even the NBA, which is having a bit of a moment now, didn't have their finals touch any of the finals from the 90s, if I'm not mistaken

Teh Showz

1:24

Announcers: Patrick Stewart and Morgan Freeman. I can look up stats myself.

carrotjuice

1:24

Team that missed the postseason this season most likely to make it in 2019?

Dan Szymborski

1:25

I think the Cardinals will be fairly aggressive

Arizona, it kinda depends on what they're really doing this offseason. I'm not sure yet

Philadelphia will do better

scott

1:26

Titus Andronicus! Did you like "a productive cough"?

Dan Szymborski

1:26

I thought it was fine on first listen, but it wasn't an album that I was drawn back to listen repeatedly

Planet Dust

1:26

Your chin-ups comment reminded me of 8th grade, presidential fitness test. This one guy was talking about how he could do 20 chin-ups, but he was tired that day, so he'd probably only do...one. Gets up there on the bar, hanging there with zero upward movement but his face is going bright red. 100% effort, no effect. It was incredible.

CamdenWarehouse

1:27

It's like today or tomorrow for 60 day DLers if OOTP uses a real schedule

Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe

1:27

THAT IS NOT ME SAYING THE ONLY THING YOU MURDER IS CHATS. THERE IS AN IMPOSTOR. I BET IT IS D.B. SWEENEY.

B.BimBap

1:27

Forst, Beane, and Melvin receive new "long-term deals" together today. Thoughts on that? I think it's pretty classy that they do it all at once.

Dan Szymborski

1:28

They did a good job and it' snice to keep everyone together

B.BimBap

1:28

But the Rays win with no money. If you put the Rays mentality into a club with money you get the Dodgers, right?

Dan Szymborski

1:28

Yeah.

Analytics Addict

1:28

Should we expect to see the same kind of slow market we saw last winter, or is there a belief that that was an anomaly?

Dan Szymborski

1:28

I don't think the market for decent veterans is really coming back.

Roughneck Odor

1:29

In innings ads really bug me. you?

Dan Szymborski

1:29

Yes

Those ads hit me when I'm paying attention.

Commercials you can just kinda block out.

When they're in breaks.

Which is, of course, why they're doing those.

B.BimBap

1:30

Nelson Cruz signs with Seattle or Houston?

Dan Szymborski

1:30

I can see Cruz getting a one-year deal with a contender.

A decent one-year deal, mind you

CamdenWarehouse

1:30

Do you think Manny and Harper will sign before the winter meetings? before Christmas?

Dan Szymborski

1:30

Pad Squad

1:31

Padres minor league system has very few impact position players after Tatis, Jr. They want to be the next Astros, but they'll need their Bregman, Altuve, Springer, Correa, etc. Do you think they need to deal hordes of prospects in order to get impact positional talent back, or would you like to see them play it out?

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