JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 11/11/21

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 11/11/21

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Dan Szymborski

12:00

And we are LIVE

Because a taped chat doesn't work since I won't have any questions.

Or I guess we could do the Mr. Show sketch thing where all the questions submitted are for next week's chat.

Joe

12:01

Bryan Reynolds, Matt Olson, Corey Seager, which left handed bat ends up in the bronx?

Dan Szymborski

12:01

I can see Reynolds ending up in New York

Hicks is super risky at this point

12:02

and I think that 2021 broke the standard arrangement that Gardner can, like, just show up in spring and get a one-year, $10 million contract or so.

TomBruno23

12:03

Did Dusty pull a Matheny Game 6 2013 WS and use not-so-good relievers in a close(r) game before going to his better pitchers in a blowout?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

I think Dusty's usage was largely driven by just who was rested

Mozeliak

12:03

Who say no -moustakas for did?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

Wait, what?

TomBruno23

12:03

LIDOM on mlb.tv is the best...not sure Pujols' 200/273/233 slash line is going to get a spring invite.

Brian

12:03

Does ZiPS take into account spring training performance? If not - and assuming there's still value to be had in incorporating this data (based on Dan Rosenheck's study from 5 years ago) - why?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

No.

It's simply a time thing.

12:04

It's a *small* gain for the one-year projections

But one-year projections, everyone's pretty much got nailed around a fairly tight center

most of my work these days is modeling longer term things

Joe

12:04

What should we expect from Verlander in 2022?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

I think he'll be OK, but it's speculative at this point

George

12:06

How do you think the Robles/Thomas CF situation in DC plays out? Thomas did great in the Majors while Robles was good after his demotion. Stick Thomas in Left and hope that both of them can figure it out?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

I actually expect them to keep this wide open and hope the spring makes the answer clearer

I expect the loser becomes basically the fourth outfielder

Phil Buck - Milwaukee

12:07

Good morning. Is this a safe space? 😀

Dan Szymborski

12:07

Nothing I do is safe!

Phil Buck - Milwaukee

12:07

Oops...

Dan Szymborskate

12:08

Does Schwarber work as a LF for the Phillies? Defense is suspect, but would the bat overcome that?

Dan Szymborski

12:08

He'd be fun. His defense isn't *that* bad out there

He's not Hoskins

TomBruno23

12:08

I think a commenter posted this in David Laurila's notes column last week...have you ever run The Unit's Zips after his age-28 season in 1992 coming off three straight seasons leading the AL in BBs?

Dan Szymborski

12:08

I have not. Would be fun to do.

Mozeliak

12:08

that was moustakas for Didi gregorius

TomBruno23

12:09

Beck's Odelay is the perfect soundtrack to today's SzymChat.

Guest

12:10

Can you do a what if projection assuming Pujols turned 41 this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

I only know what I can prove.

TomBruno23

12:10

Lane Thomas is an injury waiting to happen. Health is a skill and he does not possess that skill.

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Yeah, but you can always play a dude until he's injured

How Bobby Grich Stole Christmas

12:10

Any worries about Kelenic?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

I talked a bit of Kelenic in my AL West elegy

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