JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 11/14/24

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 11/14/24

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ppenayr

12:40

Alonso to the Pirates? Whats a reasonable player they could look at with word from ownership "theyre willing to spend"

Dan Szymborski

12:40

Lord, I'd hope note for the Pirates sake

not

The Mets at least have the excuse that he's been their guy to overpay him. If a small market owner allows their GM to give $200 million to Alonso, that may be the last big contract that owner ever OKs

Guest

12:41

Odds Vientos just had his career season? Also, does ZiPS think he's a viable defensive 3B for much longer (or even now)?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

Pretty decent, at least on a rate standpoint. People VASTLY underrate the probability that a player simply peaks in their early to mid 20s

Lalalalasagna

12:42

Does Tampa have similar dimensions to YS3 (spacious center, short right, etc)? If so, ZIPS projections for Rays will essentially account for them playing half their games in Yankee Stadium?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

I don't actually know the Steinbrenner Field dimensions off-hand

I just realized like 10 minutes before this chat that I would have to do that

Talfred

12:43

Was Bill North the worst postseason player?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

I haven't checked lately if anyone passed them, but as of a couple years ago, Reggie Sanders had the worst career WPA among hitters and Ed Summers among pitchers

One of my favorite factoids is that Babe Ruth has more career postseason WPA as a pitcher than a hitter

BeefLoaf108

12:46

Dan, what will stop you from making fun of my White Sox so damn much?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

Competence?

12:48

If the White Sox are good, they get these AIs:

But if they're not, they get these:

12:49

I'll throw this in just because

Marcus Lepidus

12:49

Would the Yankees look at Arenado as a trade target? I don't think he fits in St. Louis anymore.

Dan Szymborski

12:49

I'm not sure they'd be interested

Syndergaardengnomes

12:49

Re: Transporting a current GM back to 1977 Seattle, biggest problem you're going to have (outside of physics), is the lack of free agents to chose from those first few years. You didn't have 200 guys going FA every year, and the best ones (Gossage, Rose), you didn't need to be a time traveler to know they were good...

Billy Butler Did It

12:49

Sadly, the Dan Szymborski character is also the first one killed when the terrorists take over the school and he tries to radio for help.

12 to 6

12:50

that the dodgers landing both sasaki and (less likely, but still entirely plausible) soto is realistic is wild.

making the assumption such occurs, permitting flaherty and hernandez and (possibly, though i think he resigns on a pillow contract) buehler to leave would result in an approximate 40mm delta on salary, so adding soto at ~47.5mm and sasaki on the posting process would result in somewhere around a 10mm increase in salary, a lot of which could conceptually be obviated if the dodgers could float the 17mm remaining on chris taylor's contract somewhere by attaching a couple of middle prospects to it.

Brad M

12:50

You think MLB would miss regular season games or just spring training games due to a work stoppage?

Dan Szymborski

12:50

It's hard to say. I'm not optimistic

12:51

Though one can say that to an extent, the last lockout showed the players lacked a real stomach for an impactful work stoppage

Because fundamentally, for players to make gains, you're going to have some guys willing to make big sacrifices. Time always favors the owners, not the players.

mmddyyyy

12:52

Does the union have any input on players doing the less traditional media stuff like on field/in game interviews?

Dan Szymborski

12:52

A lot of this stuff is in the CBA including BBWAA rules

Jackson

12:52

Do you see the Angels signing a legit pitcher to a multi-year deal this offseason? If so, who?

Dan Szymborski

12:52

Legit as in excellent? No

Todd Bonzalez

12:52

What tasks will Burnes be assigned for the seven years he's in contract with Dan Szymborski?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

He's going to have to brainstorm wher eI'm going to come up with $220 million

mmddyyyy

12:53

Are the owners friends?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

It depends

Talfred

12:53

Red Sox fans lament that Yoshida isn't a good fit for their roster and should be traded. Isn't he a poor fit for anyone's roster as a slap-hitting DH at $18MM per? Seems like he's a hard player to find room for.

Dan Szymborski

12:54

Honestly, his line-drivey skillset makes Fenway likely one of his best places

Lalalalasagna

12:55

How would you handle the Orioles offseason?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

Depends on what my constraints are from ownership salary wise

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