JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 11/26/18

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 11/26/18

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Dogg

12:50

Have you thought about option theory in the context of single season player valuation? Ie if a projected 0 war player has higher error bars, he is more valuable because you can wait and see how good he is

Dan Szymborski

12:51

It's part of the reason why we're critical of rebuilding teams playing bad veterans over equally bad 22-year-olds

tb.25

12:51

Noticeably fewer emoticons today... Thanksgiving hangover?

crying

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vomit

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yawn

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tongue

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Dan Szymborski

12:51

People just don't use the emoji that much

crying

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CamdenWarehouse

12:51

Jeff says he gets plenty of questions as it is so he doesn't need a queue

Dan Szymborski

12:52

I like an error margin!

Dazed and Confused

12:52

Will any of the big name free agents sign before the conclusion of the winter meetings this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:52

I think at least one

PD

12:52

Did you watch "The Match"?

Dan Szymborski

12:52

I did not

PD

12:53

What are the odds that Eloy Jimenez turns out better than Vlad Guerrero Jr?

cool

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Dan Szymborski

12:53

Fairly low, but a lot of things are possible.

Vlad's just a more well-rounded player, he has a lot of paths to awesome

Rox Fan

12:53

I'd love for the Rockies to send Desmond and Rodgers to Miami for Realmuto. Who else would they have to include, and how much cash?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

I think the Marlins would assume that Rodgers is there just to pay for taking Desmond

RIck Hahn

12:54

Upside HR output for Eloy? 35 or more?

Dan Szymborski

12:54

UPSIDE Hr power is like the moon

CamdenWarehouse

12:54

The Duquette era is over in Baltimore. They would trade Trout for prospects, not bacon and eggs.

Dan Szymborski

12:54

I didn't say a lot of bacon and eggs. I said ALL THE BACON AND EGGS YOU HAVE

vomit

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love

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psycho killer fa-fa-fa fah

12:54

is Harrison Bader a 3+ WAR player from now on? even if it mostly comes from his glove and baserunning. Or does his inability to hit RHP doom him?

Dan Szymborski

12:54

If that defense holds up, it would be hard not to be.

Johnny Asel

12:54

Hi, I'm a high schooler trying to make a system to suggest the optimal shift for my high school team. Lack of data points, small sample size, and going from scratch are going to be tough. Got any advice?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

Yeah, that's kind of the problem. It'll be hard to justify it to a coach based on data.

Nick Markakis

12:55

I am the Silver Slugger. I am he who wields the Golden Glove. The Gods tremble at the mere mention of my name. And my enemies will burn. That includes you, Dan.

Bryan

12:55

If you put beans in chili, what do you call it? Bean soup?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

Bean and beef stew.

kevinthecomic

12:55

Re: Rivalry Trophies: Back in the day, the Blue Jays and the Expos used to have a midseason exhibition game (usually on July 1 - formerly Dominion Day and now Canada Day) where they would vie for the Pearson Cup (named after former Canadian PM Lester B. Pearson, who also gives his name to the Toronto Airport -- YYZ). YYZ, of course, is a fairly famous song by Rush.

Frank Lyman from Amherst

12:55

How do you see the Syndergaard situation playing out? Can you project a deal?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

I think in the end, nothing happens.

Rox Fan

12:56

Mazara (1.4 WAR in three seasons) for Gray (10.3 WAR in four seaons) is a non-starter.

Dan Szymborski

12:56

The Rockies don't seem as into Gray as I am.

tokenpadre

12:56

What is Sonny Gray worth in terms of prospects?

Dan Szymborski

12:56

Not much.

Siltbreeze

12:56

Do you think Joc Pederson is a bust? Would the Dodgers have been better off trading him for Jose Quintana in 2016?

Dan Szymborski

12:57

Joc's a good player.

Yes, he has some real weaknessed, but he's not remotely a bust. He's not Glenn Braggs.

Prisoner of WAR

12:57

Should the Indians construct their 2019 roster specifically for playoff success, knowing that they face a virtually unobstructed path to October baseball?

Dan Szymborski

12:58

Not ENTIRELY, but keep in the back fo their mind.

Lunar verLander

12:58

How long until we get the first "sabermetrically-driven" owner, or are most owners already mostly analytically-inclined?

Dan Szymborski

12:58

A significant percentage are at least inclined.

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