Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 11/28/16
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Dan Szymborski
12:18
I actually have ZiPS open, so given Trout's position/defense, lemme do some tinkering to see how to get to 20 WAR.
12:22
I get 20 zWAR from Trout with a 430/533/927 season with 52 doubles, 15 triples, 65 homers, and 120 walks.
Though I guess if he's hitting like that, he gets walked more than that
12:23
50 doubles and 60 homers and 200 walks gets you there too.
MaddonAbout You
12:23
Thoughts on Arizona next year?
Dan Szymborski
12:23
I'm optimistic that we see a real reshaping of the organization.
Steve Perry
12:24
Clint Frazier - future stud or are there genuine red flags with his swing that give you serious pause?
Dan Szymborski
12:24
You mean his reliance on wrist speed?
12:25
Already the hitch, if that's what we're talking about, is better than when he was drafted.
I'm not that worried.
Minty
12:25
What do you think of Bowden suggesting that the Bo Sox trade Moncada, E Rodriguez, Kopech, and Swihart for Sale and Abreu. I don't see it.
Dan Szymborski
12:25
I don't think the White Sox do this for both.
12:26
I think they're still at the stage where they're midly unrealistic about a Sale return and haven't begun to seriously think on Abreu
Rob
12:26
I know you have little faith in the White Sox FO/ownership and with good reason, but do you think (if K Rosenthal's story is true) that asking for Benintendi, Bregman or Urias is foolish or is that a reasonable ask? Thanks
Dan Szymborski
12:26
It depends on what goes in it.
12:27
If Benintendi is the centerpiece, I think the Red Sox seriously consider it. But if there's a bunch of ands with top prospects, they likely shy away
Spez Jenkins
12:27
Please give us more insight on Jeimer Candelario. Could he be a Bill Mueller type if he gets traded to another team? What do you think his upside HRs are in his prime?
Dan Szymborski
12:27
I think he has a lot more power upside than Mueller did, certainly!
Do you have
12:27
Hi Dan, how was your Thanksgiving?
Dan Szymborski
12:27
'twas fine.
Blwp
12:28
Who's the second best player in baseball?
Dan Szymborski
12:28
I don't think a clearcut number two.
Justino
12:28
Is there any way the Cubs can get Archer without giving up Jimenez or Cease?
Dan Szymborski
12:28
Cease I think is going to be a must in any package.
Andrew
12:28
What do you do re Trout if you're the Angels' GM (and have full decision-making authority)
Dan Szymborski
12:28
I actually start talking trade.
12:29
The organization is a real mess and needs a ton of things to go right to have realistic hopes in the next few years.
Right now, they're an awful team that happens to have Mike Trout.
The farm system is a mess.
And even if they had unlimited payroll, the market just isn't *good enough* for that to even matter.
12:30
And the thing about Trout is that the risk is one-sided - he's not getting better.
12:31
The Angels could sign Cespedes, Turner, all the closers, and one torn ACL from Trout and they're below .500 again
Zigs
12:32
Who is your pick to close out games in Arizona? Rubby, Hudson, the field... Seems like a difficult situation to work out.
Dan Szymborski
12:33
I'm not sure even they know, honestly, lots of unpheaval going on
12:34
I think what they would prefer is Enrique Burgos taking a huge step up in the spring.
Matt
12:34
Hi Dan. I missed you.
Dan Szymborski
12:34
I was here last week!
Ryan C
12:34
What can Junior Guerra fetch in a trade? Was quite good last year, 5 years of control, but also in his thirties.
Dan Szymborski
12:35
Age doesn't matter really all that much for a pitcher. As I always say -- obviously oversimplifying -- hitters age, pitchers break.
I think the Brewers mostly prefer to hang onto him.
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