JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 11/7/19

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Dan Szymborski

1:02

I save puns for article titles!

A Boy Named Yu

1:02

Have you ever tried to create projections for top athletes in other sports? i.e. MJ or Lebron, ODB III?

Dan Szymborski

1:02

I've done legwork for NFL projections, considerably farther for NBA, but not at finished product

A Boy Named Yu

1:03

Favorite player who never "made it"?

Dan Szymborski

1:03

John Stephens

James

1:03

Which free agent will be the Astros pitching project this year?

Dan Szymborski

1:03

I can TOTALLY see them picking up Danny Salazar

Greg

1:03

Re: Tyler's question: Has there *ever* been an instance in which management was more important than roster in ruining a team's playoff oh right Buck Showalter.

A Boy Named Yu

1:04

I meant projecting LeBron in MLB. My bad.

Dan Szymborski

1:04

Oh, no, I have no idea how I would do that

Nahtan

1:04

Anyone at Fangraphs working on measuring Manager or FO wins over replacement? "WOFO"

Dan Szymborski

1:04

We Only F...never mind

Sotobles

1:04

Let's take Robles and give him Soto's WRC+ (and presumably a bump in steals because his OBP goes way up). What WAR are we talking about?

Dan Szymborski

1:04

Well, lots?

Tony the Tiger

1:05

What is the reason the A's do not pull an 'Al Davis" and just re-locate and league be damned, let the courts sort it out.

Dan Szymborski

1:06

It would be extraordinarily expensive because MLB's central structure is very powerful. They'd deny the A's revenue and let the *A's* try to resolve it in the courts.

Evan

1:06

Has there been any quantitative analysis for farm-system rankings compared to MLB winning percentage? I'd love to see, say, the R^2 values for Baseball Prospectus farm ranking in year x vs. MLB win percentage in year x + 2.

Dan Szymborski

1:06

I've seen attempts, but nothing meaningful

1:07

A minor league's win loss record is due to a lot more things than the actual prospects, of which there are relatively few

Jeff

1:07

Would you rather have as your 1B of the future... Pujols 2/$48M, Miggy 4/$121M, or C Davis 3/$63M ?

Dan Szymborski

1:07

Pujols. Rather flush the least amount of money I can.

A Boy Named Yu

1:07

Ever play Earl Weaver Baseball? The 1990 A's were unstoppable!

Dan Szymborski

1:07

I did, but by about 1990, I think I was playing something else.

1:08

I know I played a lot of this in 1990

https://www.myabandonware.com/game/major-league-manager-8e

1:09

and then after that, the Tony la Russa games

Nick

1:09

Al Davis also had antitrust law on *his* side; the opposite would be true in the case of the Athletics.

Dan Szymborski

1:09

That's the other problem.

1:10

The Curt Flood Act extended antitrust protections to players, but not in team vs. team issues.

Guest

1:10

If you had to call it right now, who wins the AL Central next year?

Dan Szymborski

1:10

Indians

Twins have too many rotation questions right this minute.

1:10

Is Stanton likely to be the worst contract of all time?

Dan Szymborski

1:10

But we'll see!!!!!

And on that note, it's time for me to depart for another week.

1:11

Thanks for joining me guys! hopefully we will pilot through the void and find baseball on the other side in March.

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