JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 12/1/22

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Dan Szymborski

12:11

Ryan O'Hearn

12:11

I must have incriminating photos of someone, right?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

I think more than photo, there have to be documents too

very legal, very cool

12:13

any rule 5 guys you have your eyes on? The rule 5 is the coolest draft in sports. Rule 5 > Rule 4!

Dan Szymborski

12:13

I haven't done a final check

did the Pirates add Gorski?

Guest

12:14

Does ZiPS have any confidence in an Ian Anderson rebound next season?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

I would call it cautiously optimistic as a projection

Hakuna M

12:15

Have you read the novel Babel, and what is your favorite genre?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

I have not. Assuming we're not talking "literature" or non-fiction, I tend to like historical fiction and low fantasy

jillybohnson

12:17

Any current Free Agents that ZiPS seems to like way more or way less than the consensus?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

Honestly, ZiPS doesn't seem too far off the crowdsource of the top free agents

MAYBE it's more negative on Thors?

Thor

Jonathan

12:17

Wild guess: how many years ahead of public-facing baseball research (I know, a gigantic umbrella with lots of subjects) is the weakest MLB analytics group, and how many years ahead is the strongest?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

I'm not sure I'd call it a point on a spectrum like in a race

There are some things that the public focuses on that teams really don't because that stuff is wildly solved

Like as far as I know, teams dont' put a ton of effort in mean projections

Where teams are really ahead is injury/biomechanics stuff

12:19

and a lot of that is they have specific internal data

12:20

One advantage of public research is that you can go searching for stuff teams aren't necessarily looking at because they're "locally" focused on their organization

When I do something really out there like predicting how Rowdy Tellez would do at short, that's the stuff I get calls about

Derek

12:20

How often are you tinkering with ZiPS? And is "production" ZiPS constantly changing or do you wait to do updates in bigger chunks?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

It varies depending on what I have an idea on and what I want to work on

there's always a version of ZiPS that's a few years away from me trusting it

12:21

Except for the JAWS stuff, which is really just configuring results a certain way

everything in thsi year's ZiPS was basically researched in 2019 or so

DanIsOurMan

12:21

I know you don’t have Meg’s godlike powers over all that is FanGraphs (at this point it seems like Appelman is a hidden factotum), but could you pass along a request for the Rosterresource Power Rankings to be included in the MILB tables? Or at least viewable on one screen within RR? Thanks!

Dan Szymborski

12:21

I can pass along that request

12:22

and David, while away at the moment, is *very* active on the site, even if you don't see him day-to-day!

Enderman

12:24

Is Endy the #1 catching prospect?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

I can say quite confidently yes

in ZiPS that is

12:25

Oh wait

so not so confidently

I accidentally had "rookie" filter instead "no MLB time" filter

Josh R

12:26

Some people won't like this question but have you looked at the Braves contract extensions and the vast difference in value to the Caucasian players vs the African-American/Latin players? It is disturbing to me but I'm also not sure what to make of it.

Dan Szymborski

12:26

I have not

It's an area that's a bit beyond my expertise

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