Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 12/19/16
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Dan Szymborski
12:44
Like Anno 2070. It's a game that starts SOON AFTER I LIKELY DIE. That's depressing.
Marc
12:44
Ok to vote for Bonds but also invoke the *character* clause on someone like the human dumpster fire that is Curt Schilling?
Dan Szymborski
12:45
Man Marc, you've got the luck of the draw - just realized you've got a high % of questions answered!
I think it's stretching the character clause a bit too far. There's strong evidence that the intent of the clause was *on-field* character.
And even then, Schilling's not even a borderline candidate. He's a clear top 30 all-time starter.
Seven Costanza
12:47
Five of the Top 9 BABIP leaders in the last 100 years (min 2500 PA) are active players (Trout, Votto, Goldy, C. Johnson, LeMahieu). That seems weird, right? Easier to have a higher BABIP now than any other period in the last 100 years?
Dan Szymborski
12:47
Something like half the top 30 all-time BABIP years are in the 21st century
12:48
And remember, with fairly low PA totals, you're going to ge ta lot of guys not having their decline phases.
Dan
12:48
What type of production do you see from Jose abreu? I feel like there is no way he can be counted on to achieve even the counting stats from last year. Reminiscent of prior years of Freeman?
Dan Szymborski
12:49
I think the 2015-2016 level is about right.
Maybe some decline slope from there.
Julio Pepper
12:49
Unfrosted? You crazy Szymborski?
Dan Szymborski
12:49
Frosted pop tarts too sweet
Graver
12:49
Does Correa stay healthy and win an MVP this year?
Dan Szymborski
12:49
He *could* but Trout is always the favorite.
Scott of Linconshire
12:50
Eggnog or peppermint hot chocolate? And how come peanut butter hot chocolate isn't a thing yet?
Dan Szymborski
12:50
I like peanuts but I'm not big on peanut butter in things really.
I don't reallyd rink holiday drinks
bobgoblin
12:50
Since he signed with the Cubs prior to the Sox ZiPS release, can you give a little insight on how ZiPS views Uehara?
Dan Szymborski
12:50
Talked about it on Twitter and on ESPN
Dipper
12:50
No Larry Walker on your HOF ballot?
Dan Szymborski
12:51
Sadly, he can't get to 75, so he's a wasted vote this year. The best way to help Walker is to clear off 7 or 8 other guys.
Not that we will.
Though I should say they. I'm in the BBWAA, but I have a ways to go before I vote.
Lightning Round!
12:51
Back to HOF voting preferences.... if a shoe in candidate was rumored to be possibly unanimous would that change your desire to skip them? What if you are the only one!?
Dan Szymborski
12:51
I would consider that the Hall's fault for having a stupid limit.
Sandy Kazmir
12:52
What about women managers? I'd love to see a woman show the BALLS that Terry Collins showed when he let everyone know that Matt Harvey was his guy, now and forever.
Dan Szymborski
12:52
I actually think we'll see a women manage before play in the majors.
CamdenWarehouse
12:52
What is wrong with you!!!!???? Stuffing has to have gravy on it.
Dan Szymborski
12:52
Meh
Fat Kenny G
12:52
In your twitter pic I thought it was Andy Richter. Were you one of his twins in Arrested Development?
Dan Szymborski
12:52
Better than the people that think I'm Alex Jones.
Matt
12:52
Why is accumulating WAR from ZIPS projections and adding it to some replacement win total not a good way to estimate projected wins for a team?
Dan Szymborski
12:53
Because team projections aren't "Hey, if everyone remains healthy, what does it look like"
Mark
12:53
All the Priests I play tell me 'the Light will burn me' before hero powering my face and passing on turn 2.
Dan Szymborski
12:53
HAPPY FEAST OF WINTERVEIL
Erik
12:53
How does ZiPS tell the difference between a high strikeout hitting prospect whose strikeouts will sink his career and a high strikeout hitting prospect who will be just fine, like Kris Bryant? What would put Moncada in one group rather than the other?
Dan Szymborski
12:53
Generally speaking, the guys that hit *really well* with lots of strikeouts tend to project well.
12:54
When it comes down to it, when the payoff of hitting the ball is so high, like Kris Bryant in the minors, you're *supposed to* be aggressive.
You want to watch out for teh Jeremy Hermida Disease
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