JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 12/21/23

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Dan Szymborski

12:01

IT'S A CHAT!

Champdo

12:03

So how many bats do you think Colt Keith gets for the Tigers next season?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

I'm with Jason here, I think 300-400 PA is reasonable. Unless he flops, I think the Tigers will figure out how to play them, even if the position right now is uncertain

Houzer

12:04

Could Willy Adames be an option for the Tigers at 3B in a trade? Maybe like a Sawyer Gipson-Long for Adames deal?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

Adames would be fun. I don't think Gipson-Long by himself gets it done th ough.

And it may be dependent on where the Brewers are.

Dan Sanchez

12:06

The Orioles seem to match up well with the Mariners on a bats-for-arms trade. Assuming Kirby and even Gilbert are off the table, what would it take to get one of Bryce Miller or Bryan Woo? Westburg straight up? Mountcastle or Hays plus Joey Ortiz?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

I've heard crazier ideas.

Houzer

12:06

If Colt Keith becomes the Tigers 2B, does that make Jace Jung a tradable asset? Its tough to see him sticking at 3B, and Keith seems to be the better prospect

Dan Szymborski

12:07

It's possible, but the Tigers have enough holes that one prospect succeeding doesn't doom another

Paul

12:07

Hi Dan, the rumored contracts for Yamamoto are nuts to me, it seems like the numbers just keep going up. I know it will be written about when he signs, but what kind of production does ZiPS think Yamamoto will be good for over the next 10 years? The numbers being floated are what you would pay a guy you expect to put up ~30 WAR for you.

Dan Szymborski

12:07

ZiPS thinks he's really good, but hearing people talking about 300 million would make me a bit uneasy

12:08

There *is* some uncertainty here.

Doug

12:08

How concerned do you think people should be about Yamamoto’s height?

Dan Szymborski

12:08

Some, but not TOO much

laxtonto

12:08

Merry Christmas Dan!

Joe Don

12:09

If you owned the Rangers, what moves would you allow and/or urge your GM to make this off-season

Dan Szymborski

12:09

You too!

Assuming it's not just "sign Ohtani," I think Jorge Soler just plugged in as DH would be fun. And I think Imanaga's become underrated

Marshall

12:09

Hey Dan!! We are starting to hear whispers about the CBA ending in 2026…do you think we are headed for another lockout? Missed games in 2027?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

It's certainly a possibility. The CBA didn't really fix many longstanding disputes

Todd Bonzalez

12:11

When will ZiPSE-Mini finally be incorporated into this website? I can't wait to ask an excel spreadsheet all of my baseball-related questions!

Dan Szymborski

12:11

I am very confused.

Dr. Shrimp Puerto Rico

12:11

Would you give Bellinger 6/150?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

Only in *very* specific circumstances, because from a generic standpoint, I don't think that's a good deal.

12:12

I have to be a fringe playoff contender *right now*. CF has to be an absolute *need*. And I have to have an owner that's not going to turn off the spigot after spending $25 million

striker

12:12

Cease for Ortiz, Norby, Beavers, Povich and Armbruester. Who says no?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

I'd certainly do that if I'm the White Sox

12:13

I think the O's might actually blanch at that however

J Peterman

12:13

What are the chances that Jordan Walker turns himself into a capable OFer in the next year or two?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

I dunno, 30%?

He's still new to the position

But he was just SO awful

Mike Z

12:14

Fantasy baseball Q…. I have the third pick in the upcoming draft, do I take Aaron Judge or Juan Soto?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

Neither?

12:15

Two off Acuña, J-Rod, Carroll, Betts, Witt are likely off the board

take one of the remaining three

laxtonto

12:15

What is the worst "prospect" in all of baseball according to ZIPs last year?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

Hard to say because the worst prospect in baseball is probably someone at a very low level I did not give a projection to

12:17

But of players actually *considered* prospects, the biggest difference between perception of a prospect and the ZiPS projection would have been Alex Ramirez

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