JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 12/21/23

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Guest

12:18

Dan, appreciate all your work on ZiPS as usual. Did any projections for Cleveland prospects raise your eyebrows at all? DeLauter projected for a 95 OPS+ stood out to me

Dan Szymborski

12:18

I mean, he was a college guy so he SHOULD advance very quickly if he's going to become something

Ben

12:19

What contract would ZiPS recommend for Yamamoto? And do teams consider the posting fee part of the contract (i.e., something Yamamoto must essentially pay for), or do they know they need to pay full value plus just bite the bullet and bear the responsibility of the (hefty) additional fee all by themselves?

Greg

12:21

I was slightly surprised how much ZiPS likes Bieber this year. Reds have been linked to him before, you think he would be the impact acquisition in their rotation they should be looking for?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

Hang on in the last one

As for Bieber, he would be a fun acquisition

Though it doesn't feel like the Reds would be highly interested in a rental

Grayson

12:22

Is ZiPs bullish on any of the Rox close-to-MLB prospects (Amador/Beck/Thompson/Fernandez)?

Dan Szymborski

12:23

Cheating to try to find out ahead of time!

Pepiotti pizza

12:23

Do you think R Pepiot is going to be the next big thing in the Rays rotation?

Dan Szymborski

12:23

ZiPS doesn't think so and I'm only a little more optimistic, but it IS the Rays

Harris

12:23

I looked for you at the winter meetings but couldn't find you 💔

Dan Szymborski

12:23

I was around!

I probably only spent about a half-hour in the area you needed your credential for

12:24

The FG crew spent a lot of time hanging out in that shop area of the hotel with the water and near the gingerbread design place

Guest

12:25

Does ZiPS agree: snakes alive?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

I mean, some snakes are

Guest

12:25

How do the cats react when you are trying to get them off the keyboard to do a chat?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

It's mostly Justinian and he gives me squeaky meows

It's more annoying when I'm on the radio

Jon

12:26

Who is it that leaks trades? Is it some random intern that overhears something and texts a reporter?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

There are a whole lot of pathways

Merry holidays

12:26

Nice piece on the Guardians today, with encouraging projections. Computer aside, what thinks you of the low cost fruitcake of a roster they’ve assembled?

Dan Szymborski

12:27

I don't know if I'm *quite* as bullish as ZiPS, but it is a pretty good roster. Cleveland did really well in the ZiPS top prospects the last few years, so I guess it's not super surprising

Sloth

12:27

This probably has been asked in one of your chats before, but not in one I've seen. Are you related to the poet Wisława Szymborska?

Dan Szymborski

12:27

Extremely distantly

I don't have it in front of me as it would be a weird thing to keep at my PC, but I've got my whole family tree going back a long way

12:29

the closest well-known person I'm related to is Malamud, who was my grandfather's second cousin

12:30

and I'm related to Maximilian von Szymborski (Johann Nepomuk Maximilian von Szymborski), who was rumored to be having an affair with Prince Albert's father.

https://helenrappaport.com/footnotes/prince-albert-illegitimacy/

"However, another suggestion, made in a 1937 article on the heredity of the royal caste, contended that Szymborski himself had been Luise’s lover and the father of her son Albert!"

12:32

Unlikely of course

Ryan

12:32

I know that making fun of HoF ballots isn't a thing we really do, but Bill Ballou just cast an only ARod and Manny ballot, and I think we need to appreciate this contribution to The Discourse

Dan Szymborski

12:32

There wa sa pretty bad three person ballot

I'm trying to reduce my HoF meltdowns

laxtonto

12:32

Is there a noticeable difference in the number of Rangers questions now that they won the WS?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

Don't THINK so

Guest

12:32

Is someone who hits their 95th percentile outcome in 2023 less likely to hit their 95th percentile outcome in 2024?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

12:33

One way in that ZIPS is well calibrated is that any kind of over/under performance, whether team or player, isn't predictive of future over/under performance

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