JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 12/21/23

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Dan Szymborski

12:43

OR non Cincinnati chili

Harris

12:43

I did tweet at you 👀

Dan Szymborski

12:43

Didn't I tweet back? It's unusual when I miss one

HaveGloveWillTravel

12:43

Surprised Montgomery’s market hasn’t developed faster. Is he just every team’s fallback if they don’t land Yamamoto at this point, or are teams leery of the contract he’s reportedly seeking?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

I think he's waiting out Yamamoto to a degree

Bendix

12:43

Who would say no to a Eury Perez for Jackson Holliday trade?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

That would be ballsy fun. But I think both teams would err on the side of sticking with who they have

Jon

12:44

I would have to be a playoff contender right now. Grammar matters

I would have to have an owner

Dan Szymborski

12:44

heh

I'm trying to type these quickly so I can answer as many as possible because I have to go at 1!

Most times I'm writing it's not a race. This is a race!

Sir Nerdlington

12:45

Are we finally starting to see that the $/War is more asymptotic than linear as the player becomes more elite?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

ZiPS has moved to a stepwise function

It's kinda weird, it wouldn't a simple curve either

Because there appears to be a ceiling where teams start to get uneasy

like nobody has a $60 million salary

Dan

12:45

What’s for lunch today, sir?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

Nothing!

I've been doing alternate-day fasting since the end of the season

between that and no beer, I've lost 27 pounds

Extra crispy bacon?

12:46

Who Is more toasted - L Lynn or T Story?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

Lynn I think

Jon

12:46

When a minor league player is traded mid season, it lists his orgs out of order on their player page. For example, see Logan O'Hoppe. Lists Angels, Phillies, then Angels again.

Dan Szymborski

12:47

I'm not sure if they're necessarily meant to be in order?

Avast ye

12:47

Am I crazy for liking the additions the Pirates have made to their rotation?

Dan Szymborski

12:47

Not CRAZY

but I'm just not particularly a fan. Especially Gonzo

12:47

if they miss out on yamamoto, should the yankees pivot to signing another free agent starter to a multi-year deal? all of the others likely to get multi-year deals seem like big-time risks

Dan Szymborski

12:47

I think so. The need for an arm doesn't evaporate

Guest

12:48

Vientos or Baty at 3rd for the Mets this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:48

Yes.

Scotty H

12:48

Do you or ZIPs like Chapman or Bellinger at 6/150 better?

Dan Szymborski

12:48

God

I'd like Bellinger better, that's due to age

Three years is pretty significant

Ben

12:49

Does ZiPS weight within the season at all? For example, if 2 players had the exact same overall stats and underlying stats for the full year last but one player was great in the 1st half and terrible in the 2nd half and the other was terrible the 1st half and great the 2nd half, would ZiPS view them differently with all else being equal?

Dan Szymborski

12:49

ZiPS doesn't as I've found that so noisy that it lost its value

12:50

It's one of those things that there's likely signal in there, but it's simply overwhelmed by the noise

It's like bobbing for apples in a swimming pool

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