JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 12/3/20

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Dan Szymborski

12:18

Well, its don't a bit

Scotty

12:18

I can't imagine ZIPs has ever projected a pitcher to have 17+ K/9 before Karinchak, right?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

I dunno, Kimbrel one of those years maybe?

12:19

"Well its don't a bit?"

Torres long-term is down a bit this year. Again, the three years on the site are still the preseason thre years. The only new ZiPS are the ones you see in the ZiPS posts!

Dayton Moore Talking Head

12:20

Who would be your sidekick on The Dan Szymborski Talk Show?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

On FG,it would probably be Dylan Higgins, our producer

He gets all my nerdy video game references.

Chili Bean Suppliers, Inc

12:21

Your menu for chili is missing the most important ingredient Mr. Szymborski. A whole industry thrives on it. Please reconsider the error of your ways..otherwise your recipe is no better than ...Skyline....we had to say it... Happy Holidays!

Dan Szymborski

12:21

the most important ingredient is not Mr. Szymborski

12:22

Besides, my dad died in 1998, so you can't make him into chili at this point. Or at least you shouldn't

Dayton Moore Talking Head

12:22

What would be a good move for the Royals? (Let’s go with one snarky move and one non-snarky move)

Dan Szymborski

12:22

Trading Merrifield for the best package available. And maybe moving on from Dayton Moore

The Ghost of Bobby Thigpen

12:22

The most important ingredient is Mr. Szymborski? Is he making chili, or Soylent Green?

Tender Question

12:23

Dan! I love the content, please keep up the great work with ZIPS. Quick tender question - Benintendi has been a hot topic in Boston this offseason after a subpar 2020. Speier wrote an interesting piece last week in the Globe and Craig was asked in a chat earlier if he would be at risk of getting non-tendered next year and he said most likely not. After seeing guys like Rosario, Schwarber, and Duvall non-tendered last night, what does Benny have that they don't? Thanks Dan!

Dan Szymborski

12:23

Well, it depends on what he does next year.

12:24

No reason to call him a non-tender cnadidate yet otuside the sense that anyone who sucks or at least is overpaid relative to what you get on the market is a non-tender candidate

12:25

Remember, he's already signed for 2020 after all

Fan

12:25

Reaction to Ariel Cohen's article today which kinda said ZiPS is bad?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

Remember, these are fantasy estimates, in which playing time is important.

ZiPS takes no position on playing time, so you're going to have some minor leaguers and part-timers that are *horrible* buys if you use the playing time in the projection

LFC Mike

12:26

But don't you put your heart and soul and a lot of love in every pot of chili you cook Dan? Therefore YOU are an important ingredient. Straight out of a Hallmark Christmas movie.....sorry about that...Could the neural network give us an out of control Quentin Tarantino Hallmark Christmas Movie by chance? I, for one, would watch that.

Dan Szymborski

12:26

Don't put abstract concepts into recipes!

Big Joey

12:26

Do you think Torres can still become a 40+HR, 900+ OPS monster?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

I still think so. People forget how young he still is

Bob wehadababyitsa boy

12:26

Hi Dan. I remember a chat long ago where you said your mother was good a picking president's but whiffed on trump. Why do you think that is? Did she pick biden ?

Dan Szymborski

12:27

She picked Biden.

That's when I knew that he would win.

Clinton 2016 is her only miss. I asked her and that includes senate, house, and governor as well, despite the fact that she's lived in three very different states

Ross Atkins

12:28

More Alejandro Kirk or ALL the Alejandro Kirk?

Dan Szymborski

12:28

More. You have to share, so not ALL.

Aaron's Brother

12:28

How do you forecast for someone like Austin Nola? There's evidence of some skill changes. But also a lengthy body of minor and now major league data to consider. Can he be a top 10 catcher for the next couple of years? Longer? Or is he kinda like Austin Barnes going forward? (Which is still useful).

Dan Szymborski

12:28

ZiPS is hopefully as sensitive to changes as I can make it!

Buck Farmers Only

12:28

What type of move should the A’s make?

Dan Szymborski

12:28

One that adds wins would be the way to go!

Person

12:29

Chance of Eddie Rosario continuing to be Eddie Rosario in 2021, or a steep decline based on the Statcast numbers?