JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 12/3/20

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Buck Farmers Only

12:41

Which worse but more expensive version of Dahl do the Rockies now acquire?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

As I said on Twitter, the Rockies can bring back Pillar now and he's six years better.

EO33

12:42

Hi, are your woba projections for 2021 posted anywhere yet?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

They are not.

James Click

12:42

In your eyes, what is the most impactful move we could make this offseason, signing or trade, within a reasonable price range?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

Really, it depends where the Astros are going.

Buck Farmers Only

12:42

Has a MLB player ever confronted you about something you wrote?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

Not seriously. I'm not a beat guy, so opportunities are more limited. I get occasional grumbling from agents more.

12:43

The funny thing is, since I'm not trying to sweat out a quote or two, I end up taking with players more about non-baseball things than baseball.

Like I don't believe I've ever interacted with Trevor May on a *baseball* topic.

Cat Latos

12:43

How do my cat friends do?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

Justinian just left my lap about two minutes ago.Mercutio was asleep on a heating vent last I saw and I think Cassiopeia and Constantine were having words directly above me (my office is below the living room).

CeddyBReady

12:45

I'll make sure to have my agent grumble at you. He's a bean chili guy. I need new representation.

12:45

Why do you personally hate my team and therefore hold back its ZIPS projections and then also make the projections very bad for my favorite players?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

Maybe it's you, not me?

Baseball Fan

12:46

Who is the most underrated player on the free agent market this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

Maybe Gregorius?

CeddyBReady

12:46

Why would you talk baseball with Trevor... I just want the Dan and Trev 24 hour marathon stream.

Buck Farmers Only

12:46

Who would be the least surprising retired player (minimum 3 seasons retired) to make a successful comeback in 2021?

Dan Szymborski

12:47

I dunno. Ricky Nolasco or someone like that?

Someone who wasn't really old when they retired

Stevil

12:47

A few weeks ago I questioned if Perry Minasian's job was as, or more, challenging as breaking in a feral cat. Well, at the 1-month mark since being neutered, the cat has settled in with only a couple of minor pissing incidents and is clearly one of the family (4 cats and 1 a-hole). So, naturally I can't help but wonder if there's hope for Minasian if Moreno gets snipped (metaphorically, or literally). Am I wrong?

Dan Szymborski

12:48

I think there's hope, but the ownership situation is a pain

I'd be more optimistic with Moreno owning the team better.

12:49

Unlike with the Rockies, who pretty much hire front office people who reflect ownership's bad ideas

Eddie Waitkus

12:49

How is ZiPS expected BABIP calculated? Does it use Statcast data, spray chart vs shifts, other?

Dan Szymborski

12:49

ZiPS has its own statcast esque measure and the model is a blend of real BABIP and zBABIP (and stuff like park effects, aging, etc)

12:49

Have you ever considered doing all of the free agents as a "team" of ZIPS projections, right at the beginning?

Dan Szymborski

12:49

It's more fun to scatter it!

Tim Anderson

12:49

What do you think of Anderson? It's so weird to see his 2-year production compared to where projection systems put him.

Dan Szymborski

12:49

ZiPs is giving him a bump every year.

Tim

12:50

Discount the value of the shortened 2020 season all you like- do you still think ZiPS is accurately projecting someone like Smith? This is a very rude question, I know, since it's your system. Still, what is your gut reaction to the numbers ZiPS spit out in his case?

Dan Szymborski

12:50

Will Smith's projection doesn' tlook all that weird to me

Sammy So-so

12:50

I know Tim Tebow has had a crap baseball career, but comping him to Arsenio Hall just seems cruel.

Dan Szymborski

12:50

heh

Buck Farmers Only

12:50

Who makes the World Series first Jays or White Sox? O’s or Rangers?

Dan Szymborski

12:51

White Sox, O's

12:51

Little to go on so far, but does it seem that pitchers are doing reasonably well so far but hitters (based on the nontenders) are not?

Dan Szymborski

12:51

It's really too early to tell

CeddyBReady

12:51

Dan, serious question, why is Popeyes Chicken trying to ruin my life? I don't like their spicy chicken sandwich, but the GF loves it. I can no longer go anywhere else that sells a spicy chicken sandwich. Can you pass this along to Meg so I can get real advice. THANKS!

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