JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 12/9/21

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 12/9/21

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Dan Szymborski

12:37

I've been out of it for a LONG time

I used to

Don

12:37

Is Ortiz really gonna be a first ballot Hall of Famer while Bonds falls off? Exonerate one guy by saying well the results shouldn’t have been leaked while condemning another under the same circumstances? What, because one was likable and the other wasn’t? C’mon

Dan Szymborski

12:37

yea, there's some weird logic

I'd vote for both

what I don't get is the Bonds not Clemens voters, of which they're a few

GuffyToeswich

12:38

Thoughts from ZiPS on the Knebel signing? Good or bad business from the Phillies?

Dan Szymborski

12:38

It's a good signing!

Adam

12:38

Is it warranted to be at least a tiny bit concerned about the Dodgers' medium-term future? I know they've got a well-oiled machine but the system doesn't seem quite as strong and a lot of major league depth has eroded over the last couple offseasons.

Dan Szymborski

12:38

I actually think they could have a retool year in there in 2023ish

But they're excellent at developing talent and have financial resources, so I can't see any down cycle being too painful

12:39

Like the rotation is still really good

but it feels just REALLY underwhelming

APODionysus

12:39

Can you ask ZiPS what it thinks of Eric? Other fangraphs writers?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

I don't know what to model it on!

GuffyToeswich

12:39

Is Seiya Suzuki an impact bat in MLB next year?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

If memory serves, ZiPS has him a three-ish WAR player

glt4dc

12:40

Something I've been wondering about since reading Travis Sawchik's piece a few months ago about pace of play issues - https://www.thescore.com/mlb/news/2203967

Guest

12:40

Was the Konerko comp on Ty France as surprising for you as it was for me? Given that he has a little more defense and versatility, France is looking like a star-quality player, no?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

I wouldn't say STAR

12:41

but he's very good. I don't think Konerko's that surprising

Fred whitfield

12:41

Connor joe- great numbers in a small sample what do you think going forward?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

Less.

But it was unusually creative of the Rockies to look at him.

glt4dc

12:42

Something I've been wondering about since reading Travis Sawchik's article on pace of play issues, https://www.thescore.com/mlb/news/2203967, which notes that the increased # of foul balls is a sizable part of the problem. Why are foul balls increasing so much and is there anything that can be done about it?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

I'm not sure, I haven't really given foul data much thought.

Dk

12:43

As an Orioles fan thoughts on Showalter? Would you hire him if you were the Mets?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

Meh.

No.

Haha Funny Man

12:43

Neil Huntington and Bob Nutting are in a bar. Neil asks Bob if he should buy a boat or sign a player to a long-term contract. Bob says: ‘O, Neil! Cruz!’

randy

12:44

Don't you the the MLBPA is being unreasonable regarding the tax and supporting small market competiveness? Full disclosure...am a Pirate Fan

Dan Szymborski

12:44

No.

The revenue sharing/luxury tax system supported by owners is not geared towards small markets

It subsidizes *low revenue* not small markets.

Which means it's an investment disincentive.

12:45

If a team like the Rays or Pirates scores a small market miracle like the Cardinals and becomes a financial powerhouse punching above their weight, they LOSE money for doing a good job

If owners were really concerned about small markets, then they would subsidize WINS, not low revenues, with a market adjustment for how a win is priced.

12:46

The basic problem for the Rays is that they don't actually get financially rewarded for additional wins.

At least to the degree that additinoal wins cost.

The problem with baseball's current system is that the owners do nothing to make winning additional games *valuable* for teams like the Pirates and Rays

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