JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 2/11/19

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Dan Szymborski

12:09

It's an awkward amount of years for Harper to take.

Jim Bob Cooter

12:09

why does ZiPS love Moustakas so much? Projection was nuts

Dan Szymborski

12:09

ZiPS thinks his line should have been a lot better in 2018 than it actually was

12:11

Any recommendations for a music lover who'd like to check out some classical? I like darkness and dissonance and most of the stuff on the Clockwork Orange soundtrack.

Dan Szymborski

12:11

Rite of Spring

12:12

It's not that dissonant, but for darkness, Liszt's Totentanz for piano and orchestra

12:13

For bleakness, try an Allan Petterson symphony

pettersson

BigBoiShoes

12:14

Commissioner in dynasty has been taking advantage of new guys that don't understand things fully. A replacement manager of a rebuilding team just took on Kyle Hendricks at a market rate (5yrs $14M), giving Verdugo (to commish) plus a couple good SP specs. He accepted said deal roughly 24 hrs from joining the forum. And the next day was asking basic questions the demonstrated he didn't understand things yet.
The deal makes him better now and worse in the future, but his team is uber far away from contending and Hendricks doesn't dent the huge gap he needs to make up. He doesn't understand his team's position and the way the market works.

The commish thinks nothing is wrong with this. How do you reason with this?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

Doesn't your league have a veto rule? It should

Martin Riggs Cellardwellerr

12:14

Is it smart of me to keep Harper at $29, or 20% of my budget? If I do am I destined for my usual place in the cellar?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

20% of your budget? That's a little rich for me

12:16

Oh, and previous classical music user, you can DM me on twitter for more and better detailed recommendations.

Uncle Cha

12:16

Do you think the late season success of Amed Rosario and Reynaldo Lopez were just hot streaks or a sign of things to come in 2019?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

I'm very optimistic about Rosario

12:18

Less so on Lopez. I think he'll be OK, and his K rate improved IIRC, but unless I'm mistaken, he had a big BABIP improvement too that probably isn't maintainable

Chris

12:18

Are the mariners really going to cut vogelbach?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

Or trade. I don't think they have a plan to use him.

12:20

Once the season was pretty much over, there was little reason to not see what they had

It's not like Healy was good

12:21

After April, eh didn't really resurface to get starts until the last few days

My Name is Judge...

12:21

were white sox fans more annoying when you got 1000000000 jose quintana trade offers per chat or now when they are asking when machado/harper will sign and for how much?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

I haven't had an issue with White Sox fans

The most annoying is the Nick Markakis trolling.

DaveW

12:22

Do you think Senzel starts from day 1 or they wait until the end of April? SErvice time games stink...

Dan Szymborski

12:22

Oh, they'll play games with him, I'm sure

I'm not 100% positive the Reds even realize Matt Kemps tinks

Ginny

12:23

Are the Reds going to be able to participate fully in the international free agency market in 2019?

Dan Szymborski

12:23

If I'm not mistaken -- I could be -- last year was their second year of the two-year penalty

Spence

12:24

What would be the most appropriate way for the Dodgers to finally honor Glenn Burke when they choose to do so?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

I'm not sure what the best *way* to honor him is, though it would be nice if they did eventually

I wouldn't think they'd do it with Lasorda still living. Teams don't like awkward controversy.

Bregatron The Destroyer

12:25

ZIPS 'regressed' Bregman to 'only' 5.2 WAR. What's the usual aging curve for 24 year old all-stars? His BB:K ratio last year was elite. Usually that doesn't flip back hard the other way. What's the upside projection for Bregman?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

Depends on the percentile you're looking for! I don't have ZiPS on this laptop though

Jim Bob Cooter

12:26

has the reliever build changed in this year's ZiPS? Feels like there aren't nearly as many obscure minor leaguers with mid-70 to low-80 ERA- projections

Dan Szymborski

12:26

Not particularly, there are always some well projected minor league relievers.

ZiPS is better equipped to deal with minor league BABIP though after years of harvesting some interesting data.

12:28