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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 2/12/26

Dan Szymborski

12:03

Greetings all!

The Oriole Bird

12:03

How do you feel about the Chris Bassitt signing for the O's?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

I'm OK with it!

I mean, I would have preferred Valdez

but given no Valdez, I'd rather have additional starter depth than not

mustachio

12:06

Verlander to the Tigers: more than just a nostalgia tour?

Uninvited Guest

12:09

Your jury duty story was great, more about that please!

Dan Szymborski

12:09

that was a lot of fun

12:11

On Justin Verlander, he's not a Cy Young guy but he can eat innings which has some use for Detroit

bringbackpologrounds

12:13

Who would make the all-time ZiPs overachiever team? Generational peaks like Trout and Judge? Longevity marvels like Ortiz, Bonds, and Beltre? Or mid-career leaps like Bautista and Edwin?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

Usually the greats are people who are people who overachieved at some point in their careers

so nobody has a median projection of HoFer

PinstripedPride

12:16

True or false: if we were prorating by playing time G Stanton would be a Zips gain leader

Dan Szymborski

12:16

I dunno about that

12:16

A note on the search feature on Fangraphs, I've never actually been able to use it for articles. For example, if I type in zips, your name or a team name it says nothing is found

Dan Szymborski

12:16

Yeah, I don't think we ever have the articles connected wtih search

it seems just quicker to just click on the name in the author list?

12:17

But if it's something that people want, I coudl talk to David and Sean

STiVo

12:17

The movers and shakers article on hitters is pretty bearish on the Orioles young guys. (Given that they were top prospects, maybe many of them only had one way to go? But that was a lot of dudes who presumably moved more negative than others.) How do you think about this?

HappyFunBall

12:17

So. No big starting pitcher acquisition and half of the batting order looks to have lost their ... umm ... zip. vis a vis the BAL contention window, is this the "gradually" portion of "gradually, then suddenly" ?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

It's certainly not GOOD news! As I noted, I think the Orioles are probably seeing something simialrly, which is WHY Ward and Alonso

Guest

12:18

I'd like to git gud at recognizing pitches live, in the ballpark, as a spectator. Any resources/vids/sites you'd recommend to do so? I feel like I get fastball and curve most of the time sitting behind home but have no idea how to distinguish a cutter or sinker live.

Dan Szymborski

12:18

I'm nto sure about resources. It's really just training your eyes to patterns.

12:19

Just watch the pitch and your eyes will eventually adjust if you make sure to see what the pitch was and the speed every time

12:19

Is this going to be the Sox opening day roster? DHing an outfielder and Yoshida sits the bench or gets dropped / dumped on another team?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

I suspect we're pretty close to the expected roster. I think they'll shuffle quite a bit

Guest

12:20

UPDATE: head still REELING from last week's chat's SHOCKING revelation when Dan called skyline CHILI !!!

Dan Szymborski

12:20

I mean, it doesn't have beans by default

they have to ADD beans to chili

remember it's two things

Chili shouldn't have beans
Skyline is bad chili

It's not necessarily that Skyline isn't chili, but that it's bad chili

My complaint about skyline chili is more *evaluative* rather than *category based*

12:21

90th percentile outcome of Soderstrom for 2026?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

303/370/528 4.1 WAR

DansbySwansong

12:22

Dan, I don't have a question, just a comment. You're the Man. And so was Stan.

Guest

12:22

If you're ever in Milwaukee, you should dine dinner at DanDan, Dan

Dan Szymborski

12:22

do they have dan dan noodles? I enjoy those quite a bit

Mel Grubber

12:23

Caleb Durbin: 10% K rate. Looking through the leaderboards it seems really hard to *fail* as a hitter when you strike out that little, even with poor quality contact. On the other hand, he had a .265 BABIP last season and the projections think that'll continue to be the case. Is it fair to think he has a sturdy floor as a, say, 95-110 wRC+ hitter, or is there more downside risk there?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

Worth noting that his 5th percentile projected OPS+ isn't far below his 20th (73 vs. 83)

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