JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 2/18/19

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Dan Szymborski

12:11

SOroka, Gohara

SteveO

12:11

I've wanted to ask you this forever and always forget, due to lack of importance. Still--I know your thoughts on what is chili, and what is beef and bean stew. Question is, do you enjoy beef and bean stew? Is it something you'd happily eat? Thanks!

Dan Szymborski

12:11

It's fine, but I prefer chili

Ben

12:11

Who is the player who would benefit the most from one specific home ballpark? I'm not just talking about a hitter doing better in Colorado. Does anyone have a profile that would be expected to drastically improve somewhere even in relation to the park factors?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

Some do, I don't know who is the *most*

Manny and Harper

12:12

Chances either (or both) of us end up in San Diego?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

Call it 30% that one does, <0.1% that both do

Angelus Novus

12:12

Dan chat is back

Dan Szymborski

12:12

IT'S ALMOST EVERY WEEK

Chuncey Wiggins

12:12

All star game idea: Make the first base third and third first base so that batters have to run clockwise around the bases. Would this improve the game in any measurable way?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

12:13

Now, if you make every other runner go clockwise and runners going opposite direction can only pass each other if one does a flip over the other one, then yes

Outta my way, Gyorkass

12:13

Does the Moustakas signing infer that the Brewers think Hiura is not yet ready? Seems like the most logical configuration becomes Moose takes most of the 3B PA's, Shaw becomes the primary 2B, and Perez/Spangy duke it out for backup PA's in the infield, closing the opening that Hiura was looking like he was going to take.

Or, is Hiura still in the plans, and if he's raking/ready in June, he'll get his PA's and they'll figure the ramifications out then?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

I don't think Hiura was ever going to start the season as the 2B, so no effect here.

12:14

And if he's crushing the ball in June, well that's a nice problem to have

Knighton

12:14

Is Victor Robles a good bet for a 70/60/.275 and 40 steal campaign?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

Slightly on the aggressive side

Chuncey Wiggins

12:15

If the Padres sign both Machado and Harper, do they win a wild card spot?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

Fave Dave

12:15

Yu Darvish will be the Cubs best starter. Change my mind.

Dan Szymborski

12:15

It's certainly possible. Last year isn't the greatest projection system

Outta my way, Gyorkass

12:15

If you could guarantee yourself an Orioles playoff berth by being required to eat a bowl of Skyline chili once a week for a year, would you do it?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

I'm not ruining my stomach for a team that signs Alcides Escobar!

BenZ

12:15

Harper and Machado are the same age and both Steamer and ZIPS project Machado to be better this year, but reports indicate Harper will get more money. Does this mean that Harper's profile has a better aging curve? Or does it mean that teams think projections overestimate the value of defense? Or is Harper just more marketable?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

I think we wait and see who gets what!

Stevil

12:16

Hey Dan! Is it just me, or is there a semi-shortage of catching and third base prospects?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

I don't think 3B is all that bad. Now *1B*

Frantic Franny

12:17

What should we expect from Franmil Reyes this year? Is expecting a 60 run 70 RBI and 25 homers with a .265 average to over the top?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

Problem is, Padres have done nothing to clean out the outfield jam

And throwing in the towels on Myers at 3B before spring even started made it worse

Big joe Mufferaw

12:17

If you signed Bryce Harper to an 8 year contract (lets say 250 million). Would you rather he produced 10 WAR in the 1st 4 seasons, and 0 WAR for the next 4 OR puts up 5 WAR every season?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

depends on the team

CamdenWarehouse

12:17

well no one just says "Babe" and means anyone other than Ruth

Dan Szymborski

12:18

Who do ya think you are, the lawyers suing the company that makes Baby Ruth bars?

Can we be friends?

12:18

Would a system where profit was pooled and then redistributed by record work to create balance and encourage winning? Getting past the part where owners would be hard pressed to agree

Dan Szymborski

12:18

I'm not sure WHAT works

Because you have several groups with differing motivations

rich owners, poor owners, veteran players, pre-FA players

Chuncey Wiggins

12:18

Between STL stealing log-in information, Astros taking pictures of Red Sox signals, the Red Sox communicating with apple watches, allegations of a Blue Jays fan in the white shirt tipping pitches...How much cheating do you think actually happens in baseball?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

Sports have a long history of cheating

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