Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 2/23/17
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Dan Szymborski
2:00
And away we go! Thanks for coming guys, had some internet issues yesterday.
Kevin
2:01
The Brewers best starting pitcher this year will be __________________
Dan Szymborski
2:02
Teddy Higuera 1986 remains the best starting pitcher for the Brewers as of 2017!
You guys know my position on fill in the blanks! Just be gald I didn't say fart.
Geoff Williams
2:02
If a team was projected to go 81-81, and added a batter who you knew would homer every at bat- but was limited to 15 pinch hit appearance through entire year, would that team be a World Series favourite?
Dan Szymborski
2:03
A playoff favorite, but I think you'd run out of PH appearances for the playoffs.
Billy Beane
2:03
Dan, what do you use to do your projections? I was talking about how I don't know R in a thread a week or so ago and you said you said not to feel bad because you didn't know it either and another commenter tried to ask what you use but as suddenly and mysteriously as you had arrived.... You were gone...
Dan Szymborski
2:03
Sorry, I lose track of threads, Dan, sometimes.
I used to use a combination of Statistica and Excel, now with various Excel stat package plugins and Visual Basic, I can do it on just Excel. A giant gnarled Excel, of course.
John
2:04
What slash line would you expect from Austin Hedges this upcoming season?
Dan Szymborski
2:04
I don't think ZiPS is that far off here.
CarrotJuice
2:04
Would you have tendered Eric Hosmer a contract this season? He's making 12.25 mil.
Dan Szymborski
2:04
Yes, simply because this is realistically the end of the window.
Ivan
2:04
I'm sure this isn't the first time this has been asked, but nonetheless: what's the 15-word answer for why many/most players' zWAR scores are much higher than their Fangraphs player page WAR scores attributed to ZiPS?
Dan Szymborski
2:04
I haven't looked at this - FG is calculating the fWAR for the players.
2:05
I'll have to check and see if there's a replacement level issue.
Brian Mangan
2:05
Would you ever offer a contract extension to a young pitcher or would you just try to get six years out of them?
Dan Szymborski
2:05
Sure. Always depends on the situation.
I'd sure as hell have signed that Chris Sale contract!
Josh
2:05
Hi Dan does Fangraphs provide Batter data featuring that days opposing pitcher WoBA and ISO? I.e. If Bryce Harper is facing Felix Hernandez will it show the opposing pitcher WoBA under the stat line
Dan Szymborski
2:05
Not sure actually, gotta ask a FG guy
bucs_lose_again
2:05
Kevin Millar is the worst for introducing "sneaky" as an adjective for every friggin baseball player. That is all
Daniel
2:06
Do you think the Padres would have a better record than the Dodgers bench plus their AAA starters? Would it be close?
Dan Szymborski
2:06
No
Would be an interesting experiment
Does it have to be AAA starting pitchers or simply their 6th-10th options?
2:07
If Ryu's healthy again, t hat might be Kazmir/McCarthy/Wood/Stewart/Stripling?
I'd take that over the Padre rotation
2:10
Barnes/Bellinger/Utley/Segedin/Taylor/Van Slyke/Kiké/Ethier?
Would be fun
harmony
2:10
ZiPS projects Boston catcher Blake Swihart with a 2017 WAR of a negative 0.1 in 342 plate appearances. ZiPS and other projections appear to be inconsistent with the two years of Swihart hype. What gives?
Dan Szymborski
2:11
His post-2014 play hasn't lived up tot the Swihart hype.
Bebop
2:11
what would be an Arrieta extension that would be fair to both sides? 5 yrs, 135 million? that averages to 27 a year. chances of something close to that happening?
Dan Szymborski
2:12
I could see something like that. That's more for an article, I think.
Evil Empire
2:12
Is there anything the MLB can do to stop the Yankees from being the Damn Yankees from throwing $750 mill and getting Harper, Harvey and Machado in the 2018 Offseason?
Dan Szymborski
2:12
Yankees have shied away from the luxury tax threshold before, I'm not sure they blast through it now
Matt
2:12
Dan - It's Thursday. And I missed you.
Dan Szymborski
2:12
THIS IS BECOMING A MEME DO I REALLY NEED MORE CHAT MEMES
PF
2:12
Why do Zips and Steamer disagree so strongly on the Blue Jays? What's your opinion?
Dan Szymborski
2:13
Well, the obvious answer is that they disagree more than typical on players on the team. Don't see any obvious pattern of Blue Jays players.
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