JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 2/3/20

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 2/3/20

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Matt Klentak

2:55

Your chats are the best so I dont think its the time slot. The link to this chat says it was created 13 hours ago, & doesnt pop up on the header that "Dan is chatting now" IM assuming people think they missed the chat, or didnt think you were still answering ?s 13 hours later

Dan Szymborski

2:55

Their loss!

TP

2:56

FutilityInfielder.com now takes you to a website for a Canadian pharmacy

Dan Szymborski

2:56

You have to actually type it in, the search appears to have been hjacked somehow

Gregg

2:56

What's your definition of a "number 1" or "number 2" starter?

Dan Szymborski

2:57

I think of a number one as having an ERA+ around 120-125, number two around 110, number three 96-100, fourth 92-95, fifth in the high 80s

This is mostly based on Chris Jaffe's research awhile ago

Teams actually got worse than high 80s for fifth starters, but those guys tend to be replaced.

If a team's fifth best starter is in the high 80s, they tend to keep their fifth job

Matt Klentak

2:58

Should I believe in Frankie Montas' drug infused small sample size of dominance?

Dan Szymborski

2:58

I don't see any particular reason to worry

I've yet to find any predictive value from knowing a drug suspension happened.

2:59

And trust me, I've looked obsessively, because any crumb that might have predictive value, I scoop up like my dumb tux cat eating fuzzballs

Craig

2:59

Can Soroka repeat his rookie season productivity?

Dan Szymborski

2:59

Not quite as good, but I like him more than most

Kevin

2:59

Is there any type of position that is especially difficult to nail down the projections on consistently? I would presume catcher but just checking

Dan Szymborski

2:59

Young catchers are frigging nightmares.

And for teams too.

Look how many hot young catchers just went BARF

3:00

Sorry, I use BARF in that way.

Because

Elliott

3:00

"Futility Infielder" sounds like the Babblefish translation to English of a name like "Adeiny Hechavarria."

Adam

3:00

This is the best chat yet; I've never had so many questions answered. It's like when I was a kid and I went to Disneyland when it was raining.

Morbo

3:00

Is it just me or does Jay look a bit like a young predisgraced John Edwards

Eddie Escobar?

3:00

Why does everyone hate me so much this year?

Dan Szymborski

3:00

Does everyone hate you? ZiPS seemed to like you fine.

Swirk

3:00

Does the rumor that Chili Davis is full of beans have any impact on your stance?

Dan Szymborski

3:00

People are made of meat.

Johnny5Alive

3:00

Just need to put out there that Mahomes hit his over on rushing yards and then on the three consecutive kneels to end the game, when he ran backwards to try to milk more clock, he dropped below his yards total and that made me very upset.

Dan Szymborski

3:01

I don't like kneels

I think that any rushes that don't gain yards within the two minute warning should stop the clark.

CLOCK

I JUST SPELLED CLOCK AS CLARK

mike

3:01

should teams keep good players?

Dan Szymborski

3:01

Ideally

Matt Klentak

3:02

Quarterbacks dont lose yardage on sacks tho? They can only finish w/ positive rushing yards

Dan Szymborski

3:02

It's not considered a sack

Matt Klentak

3:02

SAVE THE NECK FOR ME CLARK!

Pythonating ZIPS

3:02

Hit me up!

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