Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 2/29/16
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Dan Szymborski
12:37
Nor is it far enough from the other projections for Pollock that I'm concerned something went wrong
12:38
And in this case, Steamer projects less offense and Davenport the same.
Eric
12:38
Do you believe Molitor and the Twins FO when they say that Miguel Sano will not play 3B at all this season?
Dan Szymborski
12:38
Not entirely.
12:39
Things happen during the course of the season and they both want Sano to focus right now on playing the outfield and not make Plouffe feel he's going to get sandbagged
Outta my way, Gyorkass
12:39
Say the Pirates implode this year and make the decision to flip McCutchen for as much value as they can. First call Huntington makes - Dave Stewart or the field?
Dan Szymborski
12:39
Dave Stewart gave away most of the excitement already!
NutButters
12:39
Based on the rate of excessive projection for the Red Sox from steamers and FanGraps, I have them coming in at 80 wins this year, sound a bit more like reality than the projections of the last 5 years?
Dan Szymborski
12:40
Not sur ewhat the question is.
EC
12:40
Why didn't someone else sign Desmond to play SS? He wasn't better than the other guys, at $8 million?
Dan Szymborski
12:40
Well, it' snot $8 million. It's $8 million plus a draft pick.
The draft pick, unless it's protected, is a bigger deal than the salary.
EC
12:41
Keith Law played down Danny Espinosa's defensive prowess the other day in a chat, but to me and other Nats fans he's always looked fantastic in the field. Is he that awful at SS?
Dan Szymborski
12:41
I think there's enough data, both from his limited SS and his implied performance stemming from second, that he's likely not an awful SS
James
12:41
Better long term asset, Joc Pederson or Taijuan Walker?
Dan Szymborski
12:42
Walker has more upside but Pederson has a higher floor
Bruce Bochy
12:43
Starting left fielder for Giants on August 1st? Williamson or Parker have anything?
Dan Szymborski
12:44
I don't think either are good enough to really push Pagan. Giants are in a pennant race and I don't think they make a change unless they demonstrate a case for being clearly better.
Now, say Pence gets injured and they're short an OF? THen maybe, because demonstrating more use than Blanco is an easier hurdle (but Blanco's playing time is tough to kill too)
Read the F-ing Jerry Manuel
12:44
If Duda, d'Arnaud, and Plawecki are all healthy and playing good ball, do you see the Mets moving one of them this summer or winter (and potentially moving TDA to 1B)? Seems like in 2017, they'd all project as major league starters.
Dan Szymborski
12:45
It's a possibility. Too speculative given the range of scenarios.
Bruce Bochy
12:45
Angel Pagan to the Orioles a possibility? One year left on contract.
Dan Szymborski
12:45
As an Oriole fan, I would hope not.
Bruce Bochy
12:45
Matt Cains elbow fell off again. Do you
Dan Szymborski
12:46
Well, it's a cyst unless I missed more news. I don't expect much from Cain either way. OK, moving away from the run of Giants Qs.
the dude
12:47
who's going to be the best cubs hitter in 2016?
Dan Szymborski
12:47
Rizzo. Best hitter that is, no positional adjustment
EC
12:47
Who would you rather have on Hanley's contract: Hanley or Ian Desmond?
Dan Szymborski
12:47
Probably Desmond.
Hardooo
12:47
Who has a better 2016: Tanaka or Wainwright?
Dan Szymborski
12:47
Wainwright
But it's not that certain
m
12:48
Is there anywhere to get the raw statcast data?
Dan Szymborski
12:48
Have an arrangement iwth MLB
morineko
12:48
Is the talk about small pitchers not being able to sustain a career as a starting pitcher based on any facts, or just a bias against small pitchers? If a player's stuff doesn't play in the rotation, that's one thing, but when given two players with equal talents on paper a lot of commenters will discount the smaller player or not say the problems with the bigger player are the same problem.
Dan Szymborski
12:48
This is one of those areas of study in which there are mixed results. I tend to be of the mind that it's a real factor, but a fairly small one that is typically going to be pushed back by other factors.
12:49
I mean how often are you goign to have two pitchers you like exactly as much but one's 6'5 and one's 5'11? Other factors are simply bigger
Outta my way, Gyorkass
12:49
Today's "Top Prospects of 2006" article yielded what I'll call three legit stars (Cain, Verlander, Upton), three "solid regulars" (Drew, Liriano, Billingsley), two "busts" that achieved temporary, fleeting success (Hermida, Young), and two complete nothings in Milledge and Wood. Do you think in ten years we'll see a markedly better hit rate when we take a look at the top prospects of 2016 with the general trend towards embracing analytics, or is baseball just going to be too damn random to predict?
Dan Szymborski
12:49
I'm not sure that's a bad result. I think we'll get better, but bigger gains are always first, later games more marginal
EC
12:49
So what replaces the QO? And why don't all borderline guys accept it next year?
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