JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/11/19

Dan Szymborski

12:02

The appointed time for chatting has now arrived.

Mystery Chatter

12:04

What up playa. Need a late-round MI. How does Adames strike you?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

Needs to be a fairly deep lead

Mark

12:04

Can you name some quality pitching under control for 3ish years that might be trade candidates? Is Michael Fulmer the most valuable trade candidate in that type of grouping?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

There really aren't a ton of guys like that, honestly

Gausman was one but was traded last year

BryanH

12:05

Are 3 year ZiPS published?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

They ought to be, I haven't asked for an update. They gotta figure it out

LFC Mike

12:05

Arizona seems like a good move for Adam Jones...he's not playing in Baltimore anyway....stat assumptions for 2019?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

I don't think the the projections are wrong. maybe a half-win in part-time play

Mystery Chatter

12:05

Name a team that could conceivably finish first or last in its division.

Dan Szymborski

12:05

Most of the NL Central

12:06

O's and Marlins keep the NL East from that risk

Maybe A's?

Vlad's Lat

12:06

I guess I wasn't in the best shape of my life.....more AAA food for me.

Hello

12:06

What's the general sentiment in O's fandom re Adam Jones's departure?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

A weird belief that Arizona got some killer deal because Jones is a good player

It's a bit of hometown bias, of course.

Gub Gub

12:06

You can't win if you don't Dan Chat

Dom Smith

12:06

Set me free.

Matt

12:06

I'm gonna grab lunch quick. Pause for 10 or so. K thx.

Dan Szymborski

12:06

You knew when I was coming.

IT'S THE SAME TIME EVERY WEEK

Adam

12:07

Is ZiPS aware of more granular splits like batting order position, ball park and 1st half vs 2nd half? For example, would it know that Matt Carpenter generally only hits well out of the lead off spot? Thanks in advance.

Dan Szymborski

12:07

Not particularly as these things don't hold much in way of predictive value

Especially lineup spot

Gub Gub

12:07

What's the most you've ever gambled at one time? Was it on baseball?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

I never make a bet more than a few hundred dollars.

I do well in betting because I look for specific opportunities rather than start with wanting to bet and deciding then.

12:08

Vegas is very good at what they do - if I had to bet *everything* I'd do a ton worse for sure

tb.25

12:08

Just got a new job and have to commute 2 hours via train 3 times a week... recommended chili to keep me awake?

Dan Szymborski

12:08

Texas Red Bull chili

Anonymous

12:08

Is existential ennui a sandwich?

Dan Szymborski

12:08

Can't serve abstract principles between bread.

Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe

12:09

Started a franchise in MLB: the Show 18 and did a fantasy draft beforehand. Took a lot of guys on 1-year contracts with the idea of flipping them at the deadline. Which return package do you like best for Andrew Miller?Potential grade, years of control in quotes.

Option 1:
Jesus Luzardo (A, 6)
Domingo Santana (B, 4)

Option 2:
Sixto Sanchez (A, 6)
Franchy Cordero (B, 6)

Option 3:
A.J. Puk (A, 6)
Tommy Pham (B, 4)

Option 4 (Miller + Guillermo Heredia):
Corey Knebel (B, 3)
Jo Adell (A, 6)
Anderson Espinoza (B, 6)

Dan Szymborski

12:09

1 I think

LFC Mike

12:09

Does Tatis Jr. go to AAA for a few weeks to screw around with service time and come up or is do you think more a mid season promotion?

Dan Szymborski

12:09

I think it's more a midseason type ting

He doesn't have a single at-bat in Triple-A, so it's justified to let promote him there I think

12:10

especially because I don't think *at this moment* that an Urias-Tatis middle infield is better, in 2019 terms, than a Kinsler-Urias one

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