JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/18/21

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Dan Szymborski

12:22

Scherzer if he stays healthy in the NL, though the Mets might ride the bejeesus out of deGrom

Jeff

12:22

What kind of season does Kris Bryant need to get back on a HOF track?

Dan Szymborski

12:23

A normal Bryant season woudl be helpful!

One problem is that the Hall voters have done an almost universally incompetent job at mid-spectrum players (2B, 3B, CF)

Adam

12:25

How should the Dodgers divvy up the starts at catcher? Smith's bat is elite but I'm hearing his framing last year was pretty significantly worse than Barnes'.

Dan Szymborski

12:25

I think you'll see Smith as the clear-cut starter with a typical numbe rof catcher starts and Barnes bein the more-flexible-than-usual backup catcher

Smith's record isn't long enough to be too worried. Yet.

ryan

12:26

how do you feel about the reds' plan to (seemingly) play Suarez at SS? how much does that improve the outlook for their season?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

They REALLY don't want to ever look at Senzel there again, it seems

I'm not that excited

12:27

Even if Suarez handles it relatively well, he's not one of the team's outfielders

That's where the surplus talent is!

12:28

I don't think India is a major leaguer right now at 2nd (assuming Moose to 3rd) and Dee Gordon and Flashito hasn't really been for like four years

As configured, Suarez at short just moves around the gaping hole

12:28

Any early thoughts about any of the various rule changes being implemented throughout the minors? Personally I'm against restricting unique defensive alignments, but the prospect of rigging a higher babip might be worth it. Larger bases inducing more steals could be fun as well

Dan Szymborski

12:28

I'm against restrictions on defensive alignments

12:29

I'm all for things that have a de facto reduction in base distance!

Big Mac

12:29

In the "Win Per Dollar" article you wrote, there's a player who is making just shy of $12m or so, but projected at about 0.1 WAR. Who is that? (Rosenthal?)

Dan Szymborski

12:29

ZiPS is *not* sold on Rosey

Rob

12:29

Think it's likely Drew Smyly logs 150 IP with the Braves? If so, what would you expect from him? Kind of hard to gauge his track record, but he's got so much potential.

Dan Szymborski

12:30

I would not want to wager on Guy staying healthy for 150 innings

Guest

12:30

How many MLB PAs does Kelenic get this season?

Dan Szymborski

12:30

Ima gonna say 200

Nick

12:30

How big a swing is it for the Nats this year between Soto's 50th and 90th percentile outcomes? Ben's bold prediction piece had a 200 wRC+ Soto season, and I'm wondering how much that sort of feat would forgive the other sins of the team

Dan Szymborski

12:30

Soto's already projected as full of wins, so I dont' think that's a big Nats swing

The team's depth is pretty atrocious, so I think the big swing is injury-related

Nick

12:30

re: shakespearean cat names - my guy's name is Tybalt (aka "the prince of cats", per mercutio)

Dan Szymborski

12:31

My sister's cat when she lived in England was Tybalt!

He stayed with her ex-husband's family - they have a large country estate and Tybalt loved it there

Which is why I let her name the tux cat I got who looked like Tybalt. So that's why I have Mercutio!

Cat Gary

12:31

Meow!

Guest

12:31

What are the chances Bobby Witt Jr. starts the season in the big leagues?

Dan Szymborski

12:31

I think longer than people think

12:32

I'm against teams manipulating service time clocks as much as anyone

but I dont' think giving a guy a longer minor league history than two months of rookie ball after high school is unreasonable

12:33

If Witt *is* ready, he'll be able to show it pretty quickly against minor leagers

Jeb

12:33

Are you going to play the Diablo 2 remaster?

Dan Szymborski

12:33

Sure

Adam

12:33

Which division is most likely to get both of its league's wild card berths?

Dan Szymborski

12:33

AL East

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