Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/21/16
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Dan Szymborski
12:05
Chatting has started. My lateness is due to the villainy of Carson.
Kyle
12:05
Help me Dan. I'm hungover at work and need a lot of baseball
Dan Szymborski
12:06
MORE L'AFFAIROCHE!
Ben
12:06
John Farrell has recently said that Sandoval will have to compete for the starting 3B job, leaving it a possibility that Travis Shaw could start on Opening Day. Do you think there's any truth in that, or just another way to push the Panda to work harder?
Dan Szymborski
12:06
I think Panda's job hold is very tenuous, but would be surprised if they don't let him suck for a month before pulling the plug.
Tank
12:06
Chances the Diamondbacks win the Shelby Miller trade ?
Dan Szymborski
12:07
It's possible of course - Miller's an establish MLB pitcher of above-average quality, but right now the money's on the Braves winning.
Forsyth
12:08
Do you think Shaw or Sandoval would be a better 3B this season?
Dan Szymborski
12:08
I'd actually vote against either of them being actually good.
12:09
Shaw comes with his own risks - he's not likely to be a good full-time defender at third and even if you use his MLB statline to argue he's improved -- which you should -- it's hard to forget how recent he stunk at AAA for a year.
12:10
(And yes, a .720 OPS in AAA stinks for a prospect)
Bork
12:10
How much negative WAR is Drake Laroche worth to the White Sox?
Dan Szymborski
12:10
Without the power of Drake, the White Sox will go 41-121.
41-122 that is. He's so important that his loss will make the White Sox lose a game that never happened. MLB will go 2430-2431 this year.
Jimbo
12:10
Is this year Yasmani Grandal ascends to the heavens as a shiny golden catching god?
Dan Szymborski
12:10
Gotta stay healthy
John
12:11
When do we see Mazara and/or Brinson? With Desmond being so cheap, can a slump excelerate a promotion for either?
Dan Szymborski
12:11
The Rangers will go as events dictate.
Utility
12:11
How is ESPN choosing their player rankings? Is it all based on writers rankings?
Dan Szymborski
12:11
In the BBTN? We ranked them.
Bork
12:11
http://www.thescore.com/mlb/news/987854 have you done the Jeter/Drake quiz yet?
Dan Szymborski
12:11
I have not.
Forsyth
12:11
Crawford is now the 4th OF. The Red Sox are exploring Travis Shaw taking over for Sandoval as the everyday 3B. Are we finally reaching the point where contract value/status is weighing less on the everyday decisions, and winning is weighing more?
Dan Szymborski
12:12
It's helpful in that the contracts are from the "previous guy" so it's easier, psychologically, to properly treat them as sunk costs.
Ben
12:13
I took a look at your spray chart for Bogaerts in 2015, and noticed he hit a ton of deep flies to right, but only a few, including all of his homers, to left. He's said recently he wants to add more power by swinging harder/pulling pitches in hitters' counts, so do you think he can make a quick power turnaround? It certainly seems that he knows what the problem was; has to pull those flies instead of shooting them to right.
Dan Szymborski
12:13
Drastic changes are easier said and done.
than
Utility
12:13
An article came out a couple of weeks ago about how every left fielder at Fenway Park has had negative fielding metrics, including the good ones that have played there. It concludes that there might be a flaw in the metrics for the Monster. Any thoughts?
Dan Szymborski
12:14
It probably needs a park effect, though nothing would have made Hanley good.
Neifi Perez OBP
12:14
Has there been a comprehensive study on the effect of "contract years?" Does it actually portend a bump in production? I assume ZIPS ignores contract situations, right?
Dan Szymborski
12:14
I've looked at it and found zero value as a predictive input.
Turd Ferguson
12:14
Who will have a bigger impact on their team this year, and who will be a better player over the next 3 years - AJ Reed or Max Kepler?
Dan Szymborski
12:15
I'll take Reed - I'm a big fan and the Astros are just begging for him to mak ehte case to sweep Singleton aside.
Julio Pepper
12:16
If a high school or college player goes undrafted in the amateur draft, can he go straight to free agency?
Dan Szymborski
12:16
They become free agents. Heath Bell is an example.
Trainman
12:16
The Mets are trying Lagares in LF, but it sounds like Cespedes will be the CF regardless.. It makes no sense to me to have lagares there against LHPs or late inning defense for Conforto. How does ZIPs see Lagares projecting as an LF vs CF, and am I overblowing this entirely?
Dan Szymborski
12:17
I think you're overthinking it.
CamdenWarehouse
12:18
Just how far down does the Orioles OF defense rank?
Dan Szymborski
12:18
Well below-average, but not the basement I don't think.
Matt
12:19
Sup, Dan?
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