JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

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LAXTONTO

12:11

Do you ever do any modeling consulting outside of the realm of baseball?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

I refuse non-baseball things.

Chris

12:11

If the season is cancelled and players get credit equal to their last year's service time, which players will miss moving up on service time by the smallest amount?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

Hmm, an interesting question that might be worthy of reserach

12:12

I don't think there's an easy list of 2019-only service time

LAXTONTO

12:12

What is the hardest thing to example to people about simulations in general and ZIPS in particular?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

That having no player with a mean projection of .300 is very, very different than projecting no player to actually hit .300

people DO NOT GET THAT

AT ALL

Jeff

12:12

How many stadiums do you think the owners get out of giving up that service time

Dan Szymborski

12:13

Here's the thing - they do appear to be close to an agreement

Jeff

12:13

I believe there is a hero in all of us and really like that ZiPs really likes Abbott and Amaya from the Cubs' system. Everyone says they have a bottom ten system, what makes a bottom ten system?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

Lack of huge upside dudes

Jeff

12:13

do you read around other sports' FA periods?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

I'm always reading; I'm a chronic multitasker

sportznut

12:13

When might we expect the DMB projection disk? Any idea?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

About the normal time! I would have aimed for an earlier date if I had known in November that this would happen!

Mac

12:14

If you were the Rays GM and the Rays gained inside information that this was the last year of MLB’s existence, how good of a team could you create by trading long-term value for current season wins? (For example, you have to either promote all of your noteworthy prospects to MLB or trade them to be of any use.) Assume a normal length schedule

Dan Szymborski

12:14

You could do pretty well

Stuff like Wander Franco for Lance Lynn that you would NEVER do in real life would help the team

Wig

12:15

What guy has the most potential this year? Puk Howard Gore?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

Puk's the most likely to play

Fanti

12:16

Can ZIPS get corona?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

Only its creator

Blue Morpho

12:16

How hard did you fight to deny Cistulli being back on the pages of FanGraphs?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

I called 911, but they're overbooked with emergencies

Grand Admiral Braun

12:16

Maybe a better question for Jay Jaffe, but do you feel that if a player was essentially one of the best 3 players in the sport for a half a decade, does it sound Hall of Fame-worthy? Seems like that could still encourage "large-Hall" thinking. Thinking about Andre Dawson, Dale Murphy, etc.

Dan Szymborski

12:16

I think you can argue that

12:17

I'd probably have voted for both Dawson and Murphy. But I'm also more willing to vote on peak value than the vast majority of the voters today.

See Johan Santana.

I would have cast a vote for Santana.

Grand Admiral Braun

12:17

Any thoughts on The Mandalorian?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

Still on my to do list

Jeff

12:18

Will anyone stand

Dan Szymborski

12:18

I haven't eaten THAT many doritos

Bigfoot Erotica

12:18

I don't have a good feeling about real baseball this year, and I'm considering trying to run my fantasy league in OOTP. I and my fellow participants are a bunch of old luddites, so wondering if you have any tips or can direct me to some useful literature on an efficacious fantasy league sim.

Dan Szymborski

12:18

Either OOTP or DMB are fine for those purposes.

LAXTONTO

12:18

Do you speak any other languages?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

Spanish a bit. I can write German/French, but my speech is garbage fire

Pat's Bat

12:18

Wouldn't you just prorate whatever baseball we get in 2020 to a 162 gane season for calculating 2021 Zips?

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