Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/29/17
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Dan Szymborski
2:13
I know they're in the magazine, not sure when on site.
AWPer
2:14
When you played Counterstrike, were you an AWPer or did you have a soul?
Dan Szymborski
2:14
I played very little. I no longer have the reflexes for the realistic FPS types.
cat
2:14
what are your thoughts on corey dickerson? is he relevant for fantasy purposes in ottoneu points leagues if i plan on using him just against RHPs? he's finally healthy now and has always crushed RHPs.
Dan Szymborski
2:14
He could be, but I'm guessing there's a better option.
CatGuy
2:14
I have six cats. Would you like some?
Dan Szymborski
2:14
I'm not ready to add a cat again yet.
Dan
2:14
If you were making a 4/5 person bar/trivia team, what three/four other primates would you draft?
Dan Szymborski
2:16
Nieporent, Ron Johnson, Johnny Sycophant-Laden Fora
Dan
2:16
Is there any reason to hold onto Ryan Zim in my 50 man forever DMB keeper league? Batted ball profile suggested he was a league average 1b. If he has a 110 OPS+ will he be usable going forward?
Dan Szymborski
2:16
I wouldn't.
Sonny
2:16
ZIPS is a little cooler on Danny Duffy than others, in both rate and volume. Can you talk a lil bout why?
Dan Szymborski
2:16
I she?
2:17
ZiPS has him better than Steamer.
And less yes, but Steamer's playing tiem projections aren't computer based.
Same goes for fans, is 184 IP *REALLY* the over-under for a pitcher who has never thrown 184 IP in a season? I'll say no.
2:18
And again, I think I have to say this every week, but maybe this time will stick.
I DO NOT PROGRAM STEAMER SO I DO NOT HAVE ANY INSIGHT INTO THE DIFFERENCES IN METHODOLOGY COMPARED TO ZIPS!
2:19
It's like asking me why I like sunsets more than Eli Whitney. I know how much I like sunsets. I have no particular insight into how Eli Whitney felt about sunsets nor any information that could lead to any particular insight.
Johnsies
2:19
More likely to win a world series in my unborn child's lifetime: Padres or Orioles? Am I crazy for thinking San Diego?
Dan Szymborski
2:19
No. I think Baltimore always going to have slightly richer competitors.
Ron
2:20
Do you think yesterday marks the end of Munenori Kawasaki's MLB career?
Dan Szymborski
2:20
I think if he wants to he may still get an esprsso somewhere
AHume92
2:20
How does ZiPS translate minor-league numbers? 98 wRC+ seems ambitious for Rowdy Tellez. Also, what do you have over five-years for him?
Dan Szymborski
2:21
Predicting a 1B/DH/cOF type to be barely replacement level doesn't strike me as all that ambitious
CarrotJuice
2:21
How many PAs do you think Conforto will have in 2017?
Dan Szymborski
2:21
It's cruel to make someone think about Terry Collins's thoughts.
AHume92
2:22
Does ZiPS use any Statcast inputs? If not, is this something you are considering for the future?
Dan Szymborski
2:22
More in down-the-road editions that I dont' consider ripe yet.
Andrew
2:22
What's the best situation for Carson Kelly to be in the next 3/4 years? Hope that the cards can convince yadi to play in ~120 games a year, and have Kelly play the rest? Still doesn't seem ideal
Dan Szymborski
2:22
Assuming they do make the extension deal, he's looking a like like he'll be a caddy or he'll have to be elsewhere
Evil Goatee Dan
2:23
Would you rather have a ten year career as a 0.0-WAR player, riding the bench throughout a World Series Win, or a 10-WAR season as a star player, but suffer a career-ending injury in your rookie year, costing your team a chance to advance past the Championship Series?
Dan Szymborski
2:23
The latter.
Don Pablo
2:23
If the Yankees are in the WC race around the trade deadline should they go after more pitching? Solid position players and bullpen means starting rotation is the obvious weakness.
Dan Szymborski
2:23
Depends on the exact contours of the situation. Ideally yes, they would likely need to be in the market as I don't imagine the rotation will be a strength at that point
Ron
2:23
Do you think we will soon see a spike in the Tim Anderson/Jon Singleton/Rizzo type deals in the near future?
Dan Szymborski
2:24
We'll continue to see as many of them as teams are able to do - they make sense.
FlapJacks
2:24
I'm stuck on Robbie Ray. Potential to be a high-K ace; potential to be a ~5 ERA albatross. Any guidance?
Dan Szymborski
2:24
I've grown cautiously optimistic.
2:25
Poor Tigers, somehow losing two Robbie Ray trades.
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