JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/4/19

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Rivervillian

12:11

Will we see some regulatory action on service time manipulation within the next 5 years?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

Yes

Rivervillian

12:11

what is ross atkins and why is he doing

Dan Szymborski

12:12

He's the GM of the Toronto Blue Jays and his job is to make preposterous arguments for keeping Vlad down that nobody believes.

Tim Tebow's Thunder Thighs

12:12

The last time I can recall a highly touted prospect *not* having their service time manipulated in their rookie year was Jason Heyward in 2010. That time it paid off as the Braves won the wild card by 1 game while Heyward was worth 4.7 WAR. Ethics aside, should more teams (Braves included) consider this scenario?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

Problem is, the one win is such an exact scenario but an additional whole year of a player is huge. Teams do it because it's *smart* to do it

12:13

Appeals to morality are really silly, the solution is to change the CBA so that it is *not* smart to do it.

12:14

(as in not being able to)

pelkey

12:14

How would the league even implement a limit on the number of fostered pitchers? As far as I know there is no requirement to list a roster player's position. But even if there was, would would stop a team from listing a relief pitcher as an OF and just using them as a pitcher anyway?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

There would likely be some bright line rule on two-way players that would have to be figured out

12:15

Some have been floating around

Casey

12:15

Any tips for a high school student who wants to pursue a career as a baseball writer?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

Have a niche. Write to what you can communicate or do better than anybody else can.

And always have a point to what you write. Have a position.

Purple Mays Haze

12:15

When is your prospects list coming out?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

After the McDongenhagen project.

Reagan

12:15

When Jesus Luzardo's career is over (non injury related) where do you think he stands? All-star? Bust? HOF?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

I think he has a very good shot at making an all-star game

Swinging Padre Patch

12:16

Alfaro's ceiling with the Marlins this year is.......................

Dan Szymborski

12:16

Honeslty, I dont' think Alfaro's ceiling is really *that* high anymore

12:17

I think he'll be a league-average catcher, but I dont' think he's likely to be a star

Matt

12:17

Using anything other than a spoon to eat mac and cheese should be illegal, right?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

I use a fork

E. Coli

12:18

Kyle Gibson talked during the game yesterday about building up stamina.... Do you think he will be similar to last year or will regress back to a 5 era guy?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

He did have a bump in K rate despite longer stints, I'm more optimistic than ZiPS

Purple Mays Haze

12:18

Approximately what kind of 'adjustment' (to ERA/WHIP/K9) does ZIPS show a pitcher would have if he went from a ~200 IP SP to a ~65 IP RP?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

Well, I odn't have an exact ratio of stuff offhand

12:19

ZiPS uses a player's historical SP vs. RP performance, regressed towards league changes from position moves

Phan!!

12:19

I'm a die hard phillies fan who is making his first pilgrimage down to Spring Training this year! Got tickets back in january only to find out that not only am I going to see bryce harper in a phillies uni, but I'll be seeing his first game in action!

CLINT

12:19

Where Do I fit in or am I head to Scranton

Dan Szymborski

12:20

I think Frazier makes the roster. I think there's a strong chance that Ellsbury never plays another regular season game fo rhte Yankees.

If they don't eat the contract in one way or another, I expect everyone will just agree that he's injured again

Fartrell Cluggins

12:21

If the MLB were to add an expansion team, which I hope they do, how would the organization even go about getting quality players right away? How would they fill minor league rosters?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

Most likely, the teams would start participating in minor league drafts early

12:22

Tampa Bay and Arizona started drafting in 1996

12:22

best under-the-radar cubs reliever?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

I prefer the weekly Xavier Cedeño question to the weekly Markakis joke

Archimedes

12:23

Good news! You just got signed for 13 years and $330M, but with the caveat that you must eat all of your meals for the life of the contract at a single restaurant. Where are you eating?

Dan Szymborski

12:23

oh god

12:24

I'd like to say something healthy since it's 13 years, but we all know it'll probably be Arby's