JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/4/21

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/4/21

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Dan Szymborski

1:16

AMD never made baseballs, but it did make a hilariously awful bike

The most random thing ever. A semiconductor company deciding to randomly brand a bicycle

1:17

Still some getting used to. The Ryzen aggressively boosts at low loads, so idle temperatures are higher, which takes time to get my head around

Because when I see my idle not at the normal 25-27, my brain gets mad

Nick Williams

1:17

Am I an interesting post-prospect?

Dan Szymborski

1:17

At this point, not really

OH GOD

oh, i hit header sizer

Morbo

1:18

I have to ask what Ryzen cpu did you get?

Dan Szymborski

1:18

5900X

chaim bloom

1:18

what do the 90th percentile outcomes for the red sox w/l look like? if there's no projection for it, can you give an educated guess? thank you dan!

Dan Szymborski

1:18

That will be in the previews!

Morbo

1:18

To be fair AMD just rebranded a terrible bike

Guest

1:18

Do you believe that Carter Kieboom will run away with the 3rd base job?

Dan Szymborski

1:18

No, the job stays firmly on the Nats. If you run away with it, it's no longer effective because you don't have baseball games in which to use it

Appa Yip Yip

1:18

I like how it's become hip amongst a certain subset of Jays fans (apparently myself included) to hate on Biggio, a player who has done nothing but produce at the big league level at an above average pace and who has never once been caught stealing, which is cool. I actually do not like this.

Al

1:18

Thanks for all the great work! Have aging curves changed significantly in the last 10-15 years? I *feel* like there are really salient examples (Tatis, Acuna, Soto) of guys crushing it right away. Possible I'm just being distracted by those. Less steroids, better training/development? If it's true what are the most likely causes?

Dan Szymborski

1:18

Not *significantly*

1:19

Players are aging slightly worse at advanced ages, which may be a PED factor

though it's possible that it could be more stimulant than steroid

Since I can't find a steroid dummy variable effect for players

Fat Guy in a Little Coat

1:19

Royals sign Holland, Davis, Dyson, and kick tires on Kennedy. Royals fan facepalm. Such a Royals series of events. Fire Dayton Moore!

Dan Szymborski

1:19

They're mediocre, but they're interesting

Cambodian Creamsicle

1:19

Have you ever looked up Alabama Hot Pocket on urban dictionary? Gross

Dan Szymborski

1:20

Don't look up anything on urban dictionary ever

laughing

2

or google images

Morbo

1:20

5900x is what I'm putting in my next pc more than i need but hey i wanna go fast

Dan Szymborski

1:20

When I have the RGB going fully, you can actually see my office window glowing from the street

"Cowboy" Joe West

1:20

Are you for or against robot strike zones?

Dan Szymborski

1:20

For

Mike

1:20

I noticed in your Bradley piece you talked about ZIPS factoring in Statcast metrics. When did you start using them for ZIPS and what did it have the highest impact on?

Dan Szymborski

1:21

Phased in over a number of years as I test the predictive value of various things

Booted

1:21

Are the ZiPS handedness splits available anywhere publicly? And how does ZiPS handle estime handedness PAs?

Dan Szymborski

1:21

They're usually on the spreadsheet. I think -- but am not positive -- that we'll have them on FG preseason too

C

1:21

Hi Dan, I was curious about the differences in ERA and FIP projections in Depth Charts. Does the difference only take into account the defense behind the pitchers, or does it also try to account for luck?

Dan Szymborski

1:21

They're derived from the projection systems, so they come from whatever the projection systems do

1:22

ZiPS does a simple estimate of defense

I think it's worse for Avi

Veronica

1:23

pls tell me you only have 4gb of memory to go with that processor

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