Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/7/16
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Q-Ball
12:29
Daily Mike Trout Fact: Mike Trout has led all players in WAR from 2010 through 2015. This, despite not playing fulltime until 2012!
Bork
12:29
How does the MLB justify giving Utley no suspension? You might as well whip the ball at a player to get him out now rather than throw to second to get him out.
Dan Szymborski
12:29
The idea is that they didn't suspend players for that very often before either.
Though I disagree with that.
iron wolf
12:29
Dan: where do the Orioles go from here now that AJax is no longer an option? Can't see Rickard contributing much more than defense and baserunning. Is signing Pedro Alvarez to be DH and moving Trumbo to RF the next move, or is that a big mistake?
Dan Szymborski
12:30
Bad idea. Alvarez is not very exciting if he can't fake a position.
And it puts Trumbo in the field.
Matt
12:30
Luis Severino gave up some runs. He's doomed, right?
Dan Szymborski
12:30
Clearly
The Decadent Moose
12:31
Ken Rosenthal wrote a sympathetic oiece on the D'Backs. In interviews with Stewart and LaRussa, they express a fervent desire to win while Goldy is young; the next 4 years. It seems the D'Backs focused more on player age than talent level, where being too young (not MLB-ready now) or too old (no longer cost-controlled) is adverse. The whole thing seemed Quixotic. Question: Is this cloud of dust approach better than standing pat the way the Angels have with Trout?
Dan Szymborski
12:31
Yes
Ken
12:31
Hi Dan and thanks for the chat. Many of us participate in Diamond Mind leagues which rely on your ZiPS projections. What is your approximate timeline for releasing DMB defensive ratings and splits?
Dan Szymborski
12:31
The usual. I don't have a set timeline.
marlinfan
12:31
Why are Cistulli's podcasts on a baseball website? They never talk about baseball.
Dan Szymborski
12:32
Because Cistulli is such a source of notorious villainy that it's important to keep him occupied and distracted.
Stan
12:32
If you were a betting man, who would you bet on to get the most AB's for the Red Sox at 1B? My bet would be Sam Travis, who I think could have a John Olerud type season. Am I drunk?
Dan Szymborski
12:32
No, it'll be Hanley. They're determine dto make it work.
Matt
12:34
Is Rob Refsnyder going to be able to play 3B? Will the Yankees carry him north to play as the backup?
Dan Szymborski
12:34
I think he could, but I don't think he makes the team out of spring trainign.
carl
12:34
when are you going to be releasing your team win-loss projections for the season?
Dan Szymborski
12:34
They will be in ESPN the Magazine and ESPN.com as usual.
Paul D
12:35
How do you see the Astros' 1B situation unfolding this year?
Dan Szymborski
12:35
Singleton until such time Reed forces him out.
Ben
12:35
Does ZiPS like any hitter with no Major League PAs more than A.J. Reed for 2016?
Dan Szymborski
12:35
I don't believe so offhand.
Larry
12:35
Over/under on J. Zimmermann 4.0 fWAR?
Over/under on Miguel Cabrera 5.0 fWAR?
Dan Szymborski
12:35
Under/Under
Stan
12:35
Joey Votto will get to 10 SB's this season. Book it! Joey Votto does whatever he wants and no one can stop him.
Chubbs
12:35
Hanley will get 10+ stolen bases this year.
Dan Szymborski
12:35
Actually forgot about him
12:36
in the SB question
Familia
12:36
Is Alex Reyes worthy of a first round rookie pick or do you think there too much risk there?
Dan Szymborski
12:36
Depends on your draft rules. I like Reyes though
Matt
12:36
Are Spring Training stats qualitatively different than regular-season stats, in a measurable way? I'd think that everyone is shaking off rust, getting in shape, etc., and a wider variety of talent gets used in games (i.e., trying out AAA and AA types), so maybe ST performance isn't *quite* like MLB performance?
Dan Szymborski
12:36
They seem to have a very slight use, per Rosenheck's work, but I'm still looking at them.
Mariner Moose
12:36
Having watched Austin Jackson not hit a lick the last two seasons with our team, posting a .260 slugging (.260!) in 54 gms with us in 2014 and a .387 slugging with us last year, I don't understand why anyone would be excited about signing him. Not to mention he takes late jumps and horrible routes in CF, and has a noodle arm. Is he really going to make a difference in Chicago?
Dan Szymborski
12:37
Have you seen Avisail Garcia play? He's like Miguel Cabrera in 2028.
Andrelton's Big Rig
12:37
What does a sexy platoon look like?
Dan Szymborski
12:38
I don't know, but it certainly probably involves Francoeur somehow, given that he's not around for any baseball abilities.
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