Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/11/16
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Zorak
12:40
Who do you think has a better season, Vince Velasquez or Aaron Sanchez?
Dan Szymborski
12:40
Sanchez
Manuel
12:40
Cardinals look a hot mess to me. Who should they be starting in OF?
Dan Szymborski
12:40
April
mike d
12:41
Which tool would the average person score the highest in?
Dan Szymborski
12:41
Fielding? Not that they'd excel in that either
OnSight
12:41
Chances Tyler White sticks? Reed will eventually come up but do you think White sticks at 3B or DH?
Dan Szymborski
12:42
If he continues to hit, they'll find a spot, though I don't think it'll be 3B
mtsw
12:42
Was reading in "The Arm" about the insanely punishing way Japanese pitchers are brought up. Could this paradoxically make NPB pitchers a better bet for durability (because anyone with weak elbows would've blown them out already way before reaching adulthood) than their more-sheltered American counterparts?
Dan Szymborski
12:42
Arguably yes. The issue of whether it's moral to burn through players like that, Hunger Games style, is another one.
paradiddle
12:43
I know it's just April, but could Logan Morrison's poor performance cause him to lose PT to Pearce? I think Pearce could be better offensively with equal ABs
Dan Szymborski
12:43
Yes. Morrison just isn't a good player.
mtsw
12:43
Do you buy the theory that West Coast ballparks have bigger day/night splits than non-West Coast ballparks because the marine layer or something? The data seems sketchy but I want to believe.
Dan Szymborski
12:43
I haven't researched.
Manuel
12:43
Is Aaron Nola an ace this year, next year, ever?
Dan Szymborski
12:43
I'm not sure he has ace upside
mtsw
12:44
Joey Rickard isn't as good as his first week, but is a high-contact, good-running slap hitter like him a good fit in the context of the rest of the Orioles lineup?
Dan Szymborski
12:44
Yes, though I don't think he'll be anywhere near this good obviously
mtsw
12:44
Brock Holt is eligible for every non-battery position in Yahoo leagues this year. Is he secretly one of the most valuable players in fantasy leagues with shallow benches?
Dan Szymborski
12:44
In very specific situations, if you take advantage of it.
The key to positional flexibility players is you need to design your roster to take advantage of it.
FOr example, taking risks that the flexibility players.
12:45
For example, having a player that slots in at SS makes Tulowitzki more valuable.
Joe
12:45
Not sure what the big deal with Trevor Story is. He currently has a lower OPS and wRC+ than Franisco Liriano. Big friggin' deal...
Los
12:45
When creating playoff odds, would you simulate 10,000 seasons or 10,000 seasons worth of games (simulate each game from each season) if that makes any sense. I feel like the fangraphs projections are too top heavy (the playoff odds for the projected favorites like the Indians and Red Sox seem way too high).
Dan Szymborski
12:45
I do a million years. I don't know FG's method.
gumpire
12:45
You're not at all concerned about Park's 52% K rate, even? I mean we have nothing else to go off of and his rate in Korea was also high.
Dan Szymborski
12:46
There's concern and there's using 6 games to drastically change your opinions.
Dizzy Trout
12:48
It looks like last year Pedro Alvarez hit lefties as good as righties. Maybe he doesn't need to be platooned after all?
Dan Szymborski
12:48
One year platoon splits are as good at predicting the future as Ruben Amaro when giving out a $125 million deal.
Bork
12:49
I KNOW IT'S APRIL BUT I JUST WANTED YOUR FIRST IMPRESSIONS. DAMNIT DAN WHY YOU GOTTA DO THIS TO ME.
Dan Szymborski
12:49
My first impression is that it was March, which turned out to be erroneous as it is APril.
Dario Cueto
12:49
Odds Story hits less than 30 home runs?
Dan Szymborski
12:49
Pretty good now.
Errr
I read that as more.
Because I'm apparently functionally illiterate.
12:50
Somewhere around a coin flip.
It's not like he was predicting to hit 3 homers for the year
Jay
12:50
Who's the most underrated team?
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