JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/22/2019

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Jason N

12:51

Meat + chili + spices = Dan’s Chile recipe. Meat + chili + spices = Taco meat recipe. Dan’s chili = Taco meat.

Dan Szymborski

12:51

dan's taco meat is carnitas or chorizo

or al pastor

CamdenWarehouse

12:51

Might I suggest a hedgehog tossing regimen as part of your plan to lose weight

stever20

12:52

saw a local piece here in DC saying that starters might have a better ERA than relievers for the first time since 1969 this season league wide. If that winds up being the case, do you think we may have reached peak usage for relievers and we may see things tip back slightly to starting pitchers again?

Dan Szymborski

12:52

I don't think that will hold up

Gub Gub

12:52

My experience with back surgery is that everyone I've ever met who has had it, wishes they didn't.

Dan Szymborski

12:52

Actually, it was successful for every member of my family

Cito's Mustache

12:53

What's going on with Votto? Are we finally seeing the dreaded age decline?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Partly. He has had slow starts, but I think age *is* atching up with him

But I think that will simply result in him being lesser awesome, not done.

Who let the degrom out

12:54

Does anyone even know what barking means?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

The Mets version of an MRI is that they smear a player's body part with a poultice and cloves and put them in a room with a dog. If the dog sees the ghost of the player's dead great-grandparents, it means that they were summoned to fix a physical problem with an arm and the dog will bark.

It didn't work with Steven Matz because while the ghost of Matz's great-grandparents appeared, Matz had snausages

Jay

12:55

Any hope of a return to form for Darvish? Or is this just sorta who he is now.

Dan Szymborski

12:56

I've been hopeful, but my shade of hopeful keeps becoming lighter

CamdenWarehouse

12:56

Are you including Davis as dead money? maybe his is undead money

Dan Szymborski

12:56

He's not even #1 I don't think

12:56

Jeff McNeil iso'ed .299 in 57 games in AA and .232 in 31 games in AAA in 2018 but just .142 and .100 in MLB in 2018 and 2019 YTD even with the juiced ball. What gives? Isn't the juiced ball supposed to help the power of guys like him?

Dan Szymborski

12:56

Don't get too excited about small sample numbers

Jason N

12:56

Dan - if the players union makes it a point to try to get money over to players earlier in their career, will the owners care if 1) the piece of the rev pie they spend on salary is stable and 2) if it’s directionally based on performance? In other words, how contentious will owners make this in the next negotiation?

Dan Szymborski

12:57

I think owners will generally be agnostic if it doesn't change how much they're paying overall

smaller-revenue teams *will* cause a fuss at increased performance connection

12:58

simply put, the Yankees marginal wins are far more valuable than the Rays

The current system disincentives investment.

But for teams like the Rays, a $=WAR system disinentives being good under *any* strategy

which means that MLB will need to figure out a new method of team revenue sharing

Barry

12:58

Is Corbin Burnes' homerun problem a problem, or did he just anger the gods? Is he a starter or reliever in your eyes?

Dan Szymborski

12:59

I think when there's that many, there's an issue, but it may be one that can be resolved fairly easily with some work.

it's not a stuff or talent issue

Matt

12:59

You can't get a half a hit, Dan. It's a discrete set of integers.

Dan Szymborski

12:59

I don't think it's binary

it's not like 999,000 copies is a bust and 1,000,000 is a hit

Slothrop

1:00

Is Gallo’s BA for real or blippish? Please be gentle.

Dan Szymborski

1:00

I don't think it's real, but there's a good chance that he's at least popped up the baseline a bit

How Yu Doin'?

1:00

Cut Darvish for Gausman or C. Smith in a 10-team mixed league?

Dan Szymborski

1:00

I'd certainly cut Yu for K-Guaze

1:00

How you feely about Wheely? (Zach Wheeler).

Dan Szymborski

1:01

Norman

1:01

Which World Series match-up is most likely: Rays-Pirates or Red Sox-Cubs?

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