JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/22/21

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Dan Szymborski

12:11

YOU BETTER COME TO ME FOR CHILI

12:13

Probably can't call Glasnow/Burnes under

what about Freddy Peralta?

He's been terrific

That slider he started using last year has been nasty

12:15

And dont' think he's good yet, but Naquin has been CRUSHING things

The Chicken Runs at Midnight

12:15

How many K's before a Burnes walk? Knock on wood afterwards.

Dan Szymborski

12:15

Any walk he issues will be mercy

He has to leave one batter alive to tell the others

Guest

12:15

Rays pitching has been hit hard by injuries and truly MEH (they’ve given up the most runs of any team in the league). How long until the Rays abandon everyone except Glasnow as a true starter and just have ~10 1x through the order guys bopping around between the majors and minors?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

I think with no true starters or just one, it becomes really hard to get enough innings without abandoning several of the true short-stint guys

But who knows?

Wallet Inspector

12:16

Thoughts on heckling the pitcher at the ballpark while he’s warming up? Good fun or a-hole move?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

Any time on the field, heckling is allowed!

Though I've never been much a heckler

12:17

I think the last negative thing at yelled at the field was calling Jonathan Schuerholz "Johnny Nepotism" after an awful screwup in a minor league game in 2001 or so

Jim Leyland Palmer

12:17

Which of the big free agent SS have the best chances to stay at the position for the duration of their new big deals?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

I think Story likely does

12:19

Not that I think he won't be moved at the end

but Seager and Correa are bigger and Correa has a regular injury history

Wallet Inspector

12:19

Nerd!!

12:19

Hey Dan I'm really concerned about Dansby Swanson. Is he just not a very good hitter and it is what it is? People have always expected more because of his pedigree but with 2000 career PA under his belt his 85 OPS+ is looking like that's about where he'll settle in.

Dan Szymborski

12:22

I don't think there's necessarily anything wrong with that

He's an averageish player

12:23

It's a case of Gregg Jefferies Disease

12:24

when a hyped player becomes underrated just because they didn't end up amazing

Andy

12:24

Is Casey Kelly and his hard hit % to be trusted? He’s hitting the ball hard and showing patience. Is there something in there that shows this is all a mirage or is he just getting comfortable with the main catching duties in the desert?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

Did a double-take on Casey!

But I still call Cody Bellinger Clay a lot

I wouldn't be too skeptical about Kelly's ability to hit the ball really hard. He did it in 2019 after all

Danny

12:26

Assuming he stays healthy all season, Kershaw is on pace for something in the range of a 9-10 WAR season. This would be his best season by WAR standards. What do you give the odds of him actually accomplishing this with the change in profile this year? Over/under 10%?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

Under

9 WAR pitching seasons are hard

Wallet Inspector

12:27

Have you read “Thinking, Fast and Slow”?

Dan Szymborski

12:27

I have not

12:28

My thought process is slow, and deliberative, except for the first half-second I think of something, which is always the dumbest thought I've ever had in my life

Because the first half-second I read anything, I'm a giant dumbass, my initial thought was "wait, did the Orioles actually gave the diagnosis with air quotes?"

Orioles announce Santander's injury as "left ankle sprain."

12:30

Because my dumb brain cannot accurately process *any* headline for 0.5 seconds, any time I see a calf injury, my first assumption is that the player's baby cow was injured and they're leaving to go take care of it.

Surging Twins place Josh Donaldson on 10-day injured list with calf injury cbssports.com/mlb/news/surgi…

Adam

12:30

How bad does Torres have to be this year for the Yankees to enter the 2022 shortstop bidding wars?

Dan Szymborski

12:31

Depends how much they sour on him

Connecting…