JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/29/2019

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

LFC Mike

12:12

Even though it is STILL April..Brendan Rodgers has vastly improved in AAA so far this year for Colorado. With McMahon looking to be the 2B for this year and Story/Arenado covering the left side of the field...how will the Rockies screw up this kid's future by just being the Rockies?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

The Rockies fell into a trap and accidentally found the right place to play McMahon

No idea what they eventually do with Rodgers at this point. Probably make him a first baseman given the Rockies

Zwak

12:16

If multiple umps needed to leave a game, what would happen? Is this the ideal scenario for robot umps to begin their takeover?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

I'm hoping robots take over with more violence.

dezre

12:16

What's the ceiling for Darvish this season? Return to form? Ks are increasing and stuff looks good...though 6.62 FIP is alarming. Can we ignore early season bad luck and take heart in health, good FB velocity and nice swstr%?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

Well, that's the CEILING, but he's got a long way to go

Look Dude

12:16

Mallex Smith is a good hitter, right? I mean, the man has the balls to wear a state of Florida statue around his neck playing in Seattle.

Dan Szymborski

12:17

I think he'll be fine. I didn't talk about him in my upcoming piece, but ZiPS doesn't have his BABIP as being backed up by his data.

CubFan

12:17

What are your expectations for Vlad Jr ros?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

I think the projections are in the right zone.

Zwak

12:17

In the robot ump future, would you prefer either having no physical ump behind the plate or a literal robot ump?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

You still have to have a physical ump for things that aren't strict ball/strike calls.

12:19

Like check swing adjustment, though I'd like to see that taken over by robots one day too

judgment, not adjustment

But htat's a harder feat than pitch loaction

goosed gossage

12:19

does it seem like carter kieboom will remain in the majors once trea turner and his health return? if so, what does a (nearly) full season carter kieboom look like?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

I think he'll have a .730-.740ish OPS in the majors

12:21

And he *coudl* stay up

Dozier isn't exactly making a great case for keeping his job

bang bang whats the hang

12:21

Tucker or Kieboom ROS? Or both need to be rostered (assuming every day ABs)

Dan Szymborski

12:23

Probably Kieboom. I think he has the easier obstacles to MLB playing time

Zwak

12:25

Favorite board game?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

Catan!

I do have a soft spot for the really advanced Monopoly we played in college

Three hour game, real money.

You buy out the bank (we used divided by 10, so everyone started out with $150 in the game)

12:26

After three hours, you keep your money and split what's left in the bank evenly

and our house rules allowed for very complex transactions, such as options contracts, rent waiver rules, etc.

12:27

You could make loans securitized by housing, with interest collecting every pass of Go.

Dave

12:27

Its... still April

Dan Szymborski

12:27

happy END of APril then

April is the Cruelest Month

12:27

Historically, are certain kinds of teams better able to outperform their Pythagorean win expectations? Do you think doing so is evidence of good on field management?

Dan Szymborski

12:27

I have not found a pattern. Even a Great Bullpen pattern

12:28

Well, except of rthe one-game record pattern, but I'm pretty sure that's not what you meant

ERodCal

12:29

You have stated Brandon Belt is not hurt by Oracle (fna AT&T) since he has better numbers there than on the road. I don't think that is the right metric to use, and believe the better analysis would use his xwOBA vs. his wOBA at home. Also, is Belt's trade value significantly diminished by his concussion history or just that most contending teams are set at first base?

Dan Szymborski

12:29

I did?

That doesnt' sound like me.

12:30

In fact, I remind people a *lot* that generic home/road factors are far better predictor of a player's future home/road split than their actual home/road splits.

12:32

I wouldn't object that with a healthy Ohtani, if the Angels released Pujols, made Bour a reserve, and picked up Belt, but that's not going to happen.

Connecting…

Message History

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Dan Szymborski hosts a chat