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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/30/18
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AvatarDan Szymborski
2:56
I think they'll be fine
vft
2:56
You think Bumgarner comes back and pitches like his usual self?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:57
Yes, until he gets injured in a hovercraft accident, trying to carry an enormous sandwich like Shaggy, or trying to light farts at a Carl's Jr.
isit2016yet?
2:57
Think Pittsburgh could surprise and go after Machado?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:57
No
Desperate, confused Marlins fan
2:57
Why cant Billy Hamilton take a walk?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:57
Worse plate discipline than me near all-you-can-eat wings
Matt
2:57
When will Mazara tap into his power: Soon. I answered it. Give me a billion dollars.
Raymond
2:57
I asked Travis a question earlier today about Gerrit Cole's projections, and he noted that the projections dont take into account the fact that Cole's repertoire has significantly improved. Do you think that, with improved technology, we will eventually see midseason projections that adjust themselves based on improvements in velocity, spin rate, etc?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:58
I think eventually.  The thing is, it's still hard to have these things in-season as the data is still new and we're still trying to get our brains around the long-term predictive nature
Kevin
2:58
Is what Teoscar Hernandez doing right now actually real? He put up numbers in the minors but he's looking rock solid and other than a high HR/FB%, it seems the underlying stats support him.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:58
Doens't he have  hte highest exit velocity?  Or is that Moncada still?
Or, I could take 45 seconds and check
2:59
Ah, he's dropped to 4th.  It was Moncada-Teoscar or the other way around a couple days ago IIRC
But yeah, he's behind Cruz, Judge, J.D.
CamdenWarehouse
2:59
Matt prefers the questions were in a stack
Joe Morgan
2:59
Dan, glad to see you back, thought this chat was a goner. Did your mom's basement get its power back?
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:00
Smack!
NYTT
3:00
More concerned about the Braves rotation or bullpen going forward? I think while the bullpen has performed worse, the rotation has more ?s going forward
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:00
I'm not actually concerned at all about the Braves.  They have so many pitching prospects tha tthey'll fill things out even by accident
Matt
3:00
Chili is a soup. Fight me.
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:00
Stew!
CamdenWarehouse
3:00
Is it a bad thing that I'm completely over pitchers throwing at people?
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:01
As in you don't want pitchers doing it or you no longer mind if they do?
Dan Dan the Cheerleading Man
3:01
Was the Red Sox hot start a fraud?
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:01
Well, in that they aren't an .800 team sure
But they always had upside in that Price and yes, even Porcello
and Martinez was a good add
Even with Hanley/Moreland doing their usual month-long good player impressions
T
3:01
How do I learn more about analyzing Baseball Statistics? Book? Strategies?
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:01
That's a very wide question!
JD Martin
3:01
does ZiPS directly take batted ball distribution into effect when projecting players RoS, or is it something that is inferred from other stats?  E.g. a player who has turned 15% of his GB into FB in April to hit for more power as opposed to someone who is simply hitting for a higher HR/FB
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:02
Not in-season, that model is simpler.
Catwalk727
3:02
For how great Ohtani has been, it seems like McKay has been lost in the shuffle (and prospect radar it seems). He has been lights out pitching, and while his power hasn't come through in SSS AB's, he's been above average with the bat as well. Do you think McKay finds himself at AA by year's end and do you buy him as an above average big leaguer on the mound and at the plate?
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:02
I don't think he's been forgotten, it's just Ohtani has succeeded a higher levels.
Mr. Nor'easter
3:02
Gibson seems to be a polarizing player - very bullish or very bearish. Where do you stand on him?
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:02
Bearish
Juan Fernando
3:02
Will Luis Castillo get it together this season?
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:03
I dunno, I think that after that last start, a few weeks at AAA to right the ship wouldn't be a bad idea.
54
3:03
Do you think Josh Hader gets a chance to start again in the future, or is he proving too potent to escape the bullpen?
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