JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/30/2020

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Dan Szymborski

12:01

And here we go!

Dan

12:01

Is there a way to enter our own stats and see what is projected? Is recently found my little league stats and was curios what the system would say if a prospect had 22 K/9 0 BB/9 one year 6 K/9 4 BB/9 the next.

Dan Szymborski

12:01

Heh, no little league stats in ZiPS

BASEBALL SZN

12:01

I know you are/were a big HearthStone fan. Have you tried Gwent? I made the switch recently and am hooked real, real hard.

Dan Szymborski

12:02

I have, though I do tend to play HS the most.

Sweet Spot

12:02

At this rate, what would your ideal season look like in terms of games played, location, playoffs, etc?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

162 games and everything normal! You didn't have a coronavirus qualifier

Chris

12:03

If the nl institutes the designated hitter this year, what team is most prepared and what team is least prepared? Also who is projected to be the top nl dh in a dh scenario?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

Team with decent depth at offensive positions are going to be the most prepared.

Like the Reds

Dodgers

Nats don't have a lot of depth, but they do employ Kendrick and Thames along with the confusing Zimmerman re-sign.

12:05

Teams like the Rockies and Pirates are probalby worse off.

John

12:05

There are a lot of debates that come up when you talk about defensive WAR being overstated especially when certain players are used as examples. Andruw Jones, Jason heyward and Omar vizquel come to mind.

my question on defensive WAR that got cut off - do you think the calculations are highly accurate

Dan Szymborski

12:05

That's a fairly loaded question! Highly accurate? Probably not, but at least decently so.

Hindsight

12:05

Looking back, Chris Davis' contract has to be one of the five worst ever. Who else would be up there?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

Well, Howard, Pujols, Cabrera if you're talking raw dollars

In bad ideas, there are worse ones

12:06

Like Wayne Garland's ten year contract

Hosmer in that first group too

John

12:06

Bobby Bonilla!

Dan Szymborski

12:07

The thing is, Bobby Bonilla's payout is more meh than actually atrocious given the interest rate

I mean, yeah, 8% interest in the payout isn't good

12:08

but compare that to Bruce Sutter, who got a variable interest rate that can't go *below* 12.3%

12:09

The Braves are going to end up paying Sutter something like $45 million when all is said and done

12:11

They have to pay a final $9.1 million next year to Sutter. The last 30 years has just been interest.

Blue Morpho

12:11

Is it any surprise that the first team we learn of to furlough full time employees is the Rays?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

I would have actually bet on the Pirates, if Vegas was taking such a depressing bet.

Don

12:12

Is Luis Robert's floor higher than Buxton

Is Luis Robert's floor similar to Buxton's due to defense?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

Let's not go nuts. Buxton's a good player and almsot nobody's floor is good player

Guest

12:12

Do u think D Baker will be pushing / staying with his starters a little longer ? Have a chance to acquire Urquidy in a Quality Start league

Dan Szymborski

12:13

I don't think so. With QS a stat in your league, I'd downgrade Urquidy a bit. I think he's a five-and-out guy this year.

12:15

Baker doesn't have the authority that he did when he was with the Giants/Cubs. He didn't ride Nats starters particularly hard

Don

12:15

Are you a Nick Madrigal believer?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

In that he should be a decent 2B without a huge upside, sure.

J.D. Martin

12:15

Have you tried combining the ZIPS prospect rankings with the McDongenhagen rankings using modeling? I think that would get you most of the way to KATOH+ which was fascinating

Dan Szymborski

12:16

I'm generally wary of using any work but my own in ZiPS

simNerd

12:16

Any idea when DMB will finalize the 2020 disc?

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