JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/6/23

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Dan Szymborski

12:58

and I'm less worried about him than most of their non-prospect starters

Jesse

12:58

Did the Mets make a mistake not having Vientos or Baty on their opening day roster?

Dan Szymborski

12:59

I don't necessarily think so. You want them playing full time and they just weren't going to do that in game 1

Angelos(er)

12:59

The more that I see how robust the Orioles line-up is, and how they invested nothing in pitching in the off-season, the more I want to raid the Baltimore Aquarium for chum, cover Angelos with it, and toss him in a shark tank

Dan Szymborski

12:59

I'm quite disappointed

Of course, one of the pitchers I wanted to see the O's go after was Rodon, which isn't look great right now!

Those who Franco are not lost

1:00

What team would you suspect will end up with the biggest differential from the Zips projections?

Dan Szymborski

1:00

Well, one of the top teams will certainly have a big differential because projections rarely project a mean projection of 100 wins

The White Sox, if they stay healthy, COULD crush their projections

Simply because ZiPS is baking in a lot of injury risk because it hate hate HATES their PLan Bs basically everywhere

Champ

1:01

Most likely injured starter to make an impact this year: McCullers, Skubal, Montas?

Dan Szymborski

1:02

I would guess Montas unless he has a setback

Toolsy

1:03

How concerned should be with Alex Manoah's drop in velocity?

Dan Szymborski

1:03

A bit.

Not TOO much

1:04

It's possible that it was the product of adjustments made after a pretty lousy first start

1:05

Now, if he *continues* to be missing two mph from the spring I'd get increasingly concerned

Dan

1:05

How quickly will ROS models like ZiPS adjust to the more aggressive/increased stolen base environment?

Dan Szymborski

1:05

Not super quickly as it still won't know the full reason why

Liz

1:05

What is your favorite or least favorite MLB.TV ad? Do you like Baseball Zen?

Dan Szymborski

1:05

After watching a bunch of MLB.TV games, your brain starts to blot them out

which is good so you don't lose your mind

1:06

I still have flashbacks to 15 years ago to HIS FATHER IS THE DISTRICT ATTORNEY! ads during the palyoffs

Kyle

1:06

Harvey Dent - can we trust him? (College Humor throwback)

Sirras

1:06

Who is the best character on Parks and Rec?

Dan Szymborski

1:06

Like that's even up for debate

Daniel

1:07

Has Alex Bregman actually decline from his 2018-9 peak? Is he ever getting close to the ~155-60 wRC+ numbers he put up then?

Dan Szymborski

1:08

It's very possible that is the case

People underestimate how many players simply just peak at 23-35

err 23-25

obviously most players peak between 23-35!

Jimmy5

1:08

Has Aroldis Chapman sipped from the fountain of youth and regained velocity and suddenly become a force again? If so will the Royals be smart and use him as a closer to showcase him as a trade chip later.

Dan Szymborski

1:09

If he pitches well, I doubt teams will care what inning he was in. Chapman is pretty much a known quantity

It's not like the Royals have to pitch him in the ninth to get teams to think "Hey, this Chapman dude's pitching well, I wonder if he can be a closer?"

Walla Walla Ron Washington

1:09

What’s the first name of Aubrey Plaza’s character on Parks & Rec, again?

Dan Szymborski

1:10

Janet. Janet Snakehole.