JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/18/23

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Pixley

12:57

Are we all just living in a Szymulation?

Dan Szymborski

12:57

Not a SZYMulation

But technically speaking, if it would ever be possible to simulate the universe precisely, then it's more likely we're in one of the simulations than one of the "real" ones

SoSo

12:58

Dan, it's good to see on chatting once again!!

Dan Szymborski

12:58

I was here last week and on vacation before that!

Gunther Centralperk

12:58

Generally speaking, are ZiPS ROS projections more conservative than Steamer, FGDC, THE BAT, and ATC DC? If so, why?

Dan Szymborski

12:58

Not that I'm aware of.

But I tend to test ZiPS vs. reality, not ZiPS vs. other projection systems

Because ZiPS vs. other projection systems doesn't give me insight on improving the projections since I can't dissect the why.

Brando Kosmische

12:59

And since this chat began, Westburg has hit his 12th homer.

Oaktown Blues

1:00

TIL that "Turanga Leela" is a reference to a symphony

Dan Szymborski

1:00

For those unaware, that's the Futurama character

1:01

Here's the spotify link for the recording

https://open.spotify.com/album/0rwlh7mB3ldAPPUz1kALGo?si=nIw1fHesSx-Mv...

TomBruno23

1:02

When I watch Matthew Liberatore pitch I see a physical resemblance to Chuck Finley.

Dylan Cease and Desist

1:02

Fischer has passed the Montforts as baseball's worst owner, no?

Dan Szymborski

1:02

Yeah

SoSo

1:02

Depository of Sadness...great band name

ctrapper

1:02

Hi Dan! What's the average WAR movement on a pitcher from one year to the next..

Dan Szymborski

1:02

Don't know that specific offhand

BCubs

1:02

Is Michael Harris going to be fine? His statcast data seems good. What’s his ROS expectations?

Dan Szymborski

1:02

Him I'm not worried about

Guest

1:03

The ERA is still ugly but do you think Chris Sale is somewhat back?

Dan Szymborski

1:03

While I'm not optimsitic about his health, I am about his performance

Greg

1:03

When teams openly talk about not wanting to jerk prospects around by calling them up and then sending them down if they see them as "core pieces" do you think that sometimes a player in the organization who is "up and down" might get the wrong message about his role/future? I swear I'm not Kyle Stowers's cousin.

Dan Szymborski

1:03

It depends on the organization. Some communicate better than others.

There's a real variance on how teams treat their prospects

E-roq

1:04

Did you know that Jake Bauers has an xWOBA of .413, a 25% barrel rate and a 50% hard-hit rate, as per Statcast, in 40 PAs. How many PAs until you think it means something if he keeps that up?

Dan Szymborski

1:04

Actually, I did not

1:05

it's enough that it's interesting, though he has a long history of MEH to overcome

Guest

1:05

The games are too fast! What can we do to also them down? There are no bad ideas.

Dan Szymborski

1:05

Any time a team is up by 10 runs, Steve Trachsel automatically comes in to pitch

Guest