JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat 5/22/25

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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat 5/22/25

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Guest

1:08

Dan, there was a reddit post a few days ago suggesting that after the WAR switch to XBR certain plays (i.e. the hustle double) may be overcounted. Any new thoughts on this?

Dan Szymborski

1:08

I followed up on that post! David's going to talk to Tango about the best way to unwind any double counting

Ceddy B Ready

1:08

Dude, don't give away all the 47 year old secrets! I have 4 pairs of shoes.

Key Flaw

1:09

You say you play piano and some other band-type brass. If you could choose two other instruments to know how to play (instantly downloaded like on the matrix), which ones would you pick (one has to be a non-weird one)?

Dan Szymborski

1:09

Guitar and violin

I've been playing piano for more than 40 years

1:10

I can credibly play the larger brass instruments (tuba, euphonium, trombone) and I'm passable with trumpet

1:11

And I can play clarinet and oboe, and I like playing along to vivaldi concertos on my boxwood tenor recorder

1:12

but I don't play any of violin/cello/viola/bass or guitar, so it would be interestingi and different from the things I normally play

1:13

my friend Mike's dad has crafted violins for 40 years, but he sells them for 15-20K a piece and I probably can't get THAT Much of a discount

Ceddy B Ready

1:14

"I'm Dan! I have many talents. Look at me! Look AT me!"

That's what you sound like, Talent Boy.

Dan Szymborski

1:14

I like playing music!

Guest

1:14

where/how'd you keep up with all these instruments? i played clarinet in 8th grade

Dan Szymborski

1:14

I work from home and have always been musical

I never had the skillset that playing professionally would have been a thing; those people are SUPER talented

Idiotic Failson

1:16

I went to my kid's band concert last night and now I imagine you sitting up there playing Imperial March

Guest

1:16

is it safe to assume that Steamer use the same process for RoS and UPD?

Dan Szymborski

1:17

if definitionally then yes

obviously the process is different

Ceddy B Ready

1:18

I learned bass guitar when in was a teenager. I was so bad that my girlfriend at the time offered to pay for the prom limo if I would just stop. That was a sweet $100 I saved.

KC Pain

1:18

Do you think KC makes SOME sort of move for OF help or are they really pinning it all on current OF + Jac?

Dan Szymborski

1:19

I think if they were serious about a move, they would have done it last offseason. GOing into the season with melendez/renfroe as starting corners was malpractice

Oh, there are a few questions about what a pentapus is

That's Justinian, AKA Doctor Pentapus

Key Flaw

1:19

Oh the Imperial March, that would definitely be my walkup song. Did Harrison Bader ever use that? Has anyone? (even if it is a ripoff of Mars, it is an all-time great)

Dan Szymborski

1:19

nto a lot of orchestral walk up music

1:20

I'd use the start of the second movement of Prokofiev's Scythian Suite as my walkup music

Idiotic Failson

1:21

No way I'm clicking on a link called 'pentapus'. Nice try, HR.

War2d2

1:21

Personal feeling is that Imperial March would work better as a closer’s entrance music.

Dan Szymborski

1:21

I think the problem with that is the Empire lost in the final act

That's inauspicious for a closer

buffy, the umpire slayer

1:22

thanks on the ROS & UPD explanations. How often do you update the RoS?

Key Flaw

1:22

The Scythian Suite sounds like battle music for EU4! I'm ready to invade Anatolia now

Dan Szymborski

1:22

The simpler in-season model is updated every morning automatically

1:23

What I call "full fat" ZiPS is batch-run in the middle of every month, and whenever else I want to do it for a specific article I'm working on, if need be

To fully run ZiPS takes a little over a day for two PCs running simultaneously

1:23

Does it bother you as much as it bothers me that MLB calls automatic doubles "ground-rule doubles" on gameday? They're different things!

Dan Szymborski

1:23

I didn't think of that!

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