JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/28/2020

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Dan Szymborski

12:21

And a lot of 40 and 50 year old writers seem to have this belief that players have the exact same beliefs on safety as they do.

12:22

Like they're being forced to come play. In fact, a lot of the buzz I've heard in the usual back channels is there are a lot of players who think the protocols are too STRICT

Not to say that we shouldn't be careful and perhaps be opening things more careful generally than we have.

12:23

But remember, the idea is to flatten the curve and keep medical facilities from being overwhelmed. There's been some mission creep here; a true vaccine may be NEVER after all, or it may just be something that mitigates the worst cases somewhat, like the flu vaccines.

Daryl

12:23

I have been the optimist always thinking we would have some sort of season but I think I am starting to feel less optimistic. What about you? What are your odds on a season?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

I tend to go between 60/40 and 70/30 for a season

Reader

12:25

How do I tell you and Craig apart? Who does what?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

We do very different stuff!

12:26

Also, he has curly salt-and-pepper hair and is in better shape than I am.

brad

12:26

how far do you think Blaze Jordan falls? With the Yankees horrible draft record besides judge, but he was a comp pick. Would blaze make sense for highest upside? I don't want to hear they took another "toolsy" SS or SP with injury risk again...

Dan Szymborski

12:28

I have no idea on Jordan. Teams aren't falling them over themselves to draft 1B/may stick at 3B types, even pretty awesome ones, these days. If he does fall out of first round, which seems very likely, given the draft changes, he probably would be smart to go to Mississippi State.

Det

12:28

Odds the Tigers take a position player aside from Fork?

Dan Szymborski

12:29

I think he's an Adley-level lock.

Aav

12:29

The AAV on Aroldis Chapman's page does not line up with his total contract. AAV says 17.5. Total contract is 48

Dan Szymborski

12:29

Hmm

12:31

No, this one is correct.

12:32

For luxury tax purposes, there's an additional charge from the previous contract.

His signing bonus from the previous contract which he opted out of was redistributed among the contract.

12:33

Else teams could structure signing bonuses in a certain way that they don't have to actually have it in AAV.

hscer

12:34

[filibustering]

Dan

12:34

What's the best nonstandard pet?

Dan Szymborski

12:34

Rock

Dbo

12:34

Why do you hate Pringles, Dan?

Dan Szymborski

12:34

They taste like thick potato chops gone stale.

chips

12:35

I mean, they're just pressed potato sweepings

12:35

Is it a possible ploy by the owners to throw out this season to give them more negotiating power next year? If there is no season this year it seems like there will be tremendous pressure on the players to get a new deal done.

Dan Szymborski

12:35

I dont' think it's that complex.

I think there's a hard-line in owners, Moreno and some others, that don't want to give the players anything and make it retroactive.

Danny Almonte’s fastball

12:35

What is greater with robo umps: the WAR loss for good catchers from framing, or the WAR gain from increased offense now that lesser framing catchers can play the position?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

I don't think either is significant.

John

12:36

Is there going to be a trade deadline if we have a season?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

Yeah

Joel

12:36

How many minor league and Indy league teams will not survive this crisis?