JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/6/19

Dan Szymborski

12:04

The hatches are battened, the sails are trimmed, the splines have been reticulated, and the hedgehog has been hidden, so let's do this!

Gub Gub

12:04

If you were a long-haul trucker, what would you name your truck?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

Trucky McTruckface.

Colin

12:04

Dan, do you think Jose Ramirez turns it around? What would you project ROS?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

I still suspect that he does.

Though I still don't quite get why he's so BABIP anemic.

12:06

Even last year, which still ended overall as a really terrific season despite a late season slump, he only had a .252 BABIP

12:07

ZiPS thought he should have had a .317 BABIP in 2016 (actual .333). ZiPS though he should have had a .316 BAIP in 2017 (actual .319)

12:08

Now, these are the post-season analyses based on the advanced hit data for the season, nto the predictions going into the season

So nothing looks weird yet.

ZiPS thought he should have a .287 in 2018 (actual .252). One of the biggest misses.

and this year, ZiPS thinks he "should be" at .270 and he's at .224

12:09

So there's a real problem in there and I'm not sure the why

LFC Mike

12:09

Happy Monday Dan. Happy May baseball too. Can you make it so the Reds always wear the throwback uniforms? They are fantastic. Please tell me Chavis won’t lose playing time as Pedroia et all return from injuries. He has really played well. Finally.. no matter how rough and tumble this chat gets.. we will never Disqualify you and take you off the board.

Dan Szymborski

12:09

I'M UNDISQUALIFIABLE

bang bang whats the hang

12:09

Corey Kluber. I know they're saying he's going to get "re-evaluated in 3-4 weeks" but his 2019 is cooked right? Even best case he's back in 3 months but he's probably going to have no arm strength right? Any historical pitchers we can compare this injury to?

Dan Szymborski

12:09

There aren't a ton of broken arms, though maybe I'm forgetting more

12:10

The most gruesome was Tony Saunders, but that was more based on his physiology while Kluber's was a regular ol' smash and crunch

12:11

Didn't John Smiley also not come back for one?

I'll be cautiously optimistic, at least the reports I saw, it was a pretty clean break

Acunami

12:11

Let's talk catchers - top catchers seem to be the one group performing up to expectation. Should teams regret not anteing up for Grandal and Realmuto?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

They should have already. *Especially* with Grandal. How can you let the Brewers outbid you with *that* contract?

Bread Gardner

12:11

Okay, so when do the wheels *actually* fall off for the Yankees?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

They seem to be playing 2019 using the adaptive difficulty settings. The more they win, the more players get injured.

Bread Gardner

12:11

According to reports, Brett Gardner apparently once drove from NYC to North Carolina without realizing his radio was off the entire time. And in his first season, he didn't get an E-ZPass and sat in traffic every day on the way to the Stadium. The conclusion is obvious: he's a serial killer.

Archer

12:12

Have the Tigers found something in Spencer Turnbull?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

I think so. He was better than his 2018 stats in the majors too

Bread Gardner

12:13

Worst baseball name in history?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

Bob Walk. HE'S A PITCHER

Acunami

12:13

Did Nick Markakis make a deal with a minor demon for first half dominance? If so, what did he offer? His first-born pup?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

Greece's economy

Ben

12:13

What should Braves do with Austin Riley? He's tearing up AAA, has nothing left to prove, but he's block by Donaldson. I'd hate to see him sit in AAA all year, but it seems that's what'll likely happen.

Dan Szymborski

12:14

I think you bring him up later in the year as an extra at-bat, spell in the corners. I'd give him some time in elft and right to be comfortable

ADHD Skyline Chili

12:14

This is a terrible name for a racehorse...:but the Skyline Chili will make him run all day! This ends the weekly Skyline Chili insult.

Magic Kingdome

12:14

Boy, Cleveland's "let's not worry about the outfield or the bullpen because we are coasting to the AL Central title" is sure working out great, right?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

Nobody can say they weren't warned.

12:16

Guys, one of the reasons I don't answer questions is because they're an entire article worth of answers. You can't expect my brain to stuff hours of thought into a 20 second question!

Smith

12:16

Matt Olson projects for 18-21 home runs per his player page. Is that taking into account the potential of a hamate injury to sap his power?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

It is not

ZiPS knows injuries in the main year-to-year version, but I don't think any of the in-season rpojections know specifics about injuries

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