JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/6/21

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Dan Szymborski

12:16

We're just nudging projections now, at least when it comes to near-future projections

Lunch Angle

12:16

Ohtani the pitcher's command is as superlatively bad as his stuff is good. Is that something that we can expect to improve as he gets more experience?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

I do. Remember, he still have very little experience throwing against major league hitters, thanks to injuries

Jeff

12:17

I don’t know why I don’t say hi first

NotGraphs Revivalist

12:17

Lance Lynn could make me chili anyday

Sharps

12:17

with xwOBA seeming to be less accurate (every team seems to be underperforming it), would changes to that affect ZIPS?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

I'm having similar issues in-season this year

Which is why it's taking longer than usual to roll out my zBABIP piece for first month

Al Gone Quinn

12:18

So Air Force 1 is slated to be this slick Supersonic Transport jet in the year 2036. I'm holding off on running for President until then because why would u want to have the office before then. I'll be 76 yrs old. Think I can pull off another old guy Biden type victory?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

Steve

12:18

Patiño and Mc Clanahan or Mize and Skubal

Dan Szymborski

12:18

Former

QQ4U

12:18

I've (and others I think) assumed for a long time that in small sample size situations (i.e. playoffs) pitching *seems* like a more reliable metric than hitting for predicting success. Have you seen any hard data to back that up?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

I have not

12:19

And I've looked at this myself

Aleks

12:19

Are you related to Wisława Szymborski or is it just a common Polish name?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

I am related, but it's quite distant. I don't have the full family tree accessible here (I'd have to ask mom), but it goes pretty far back.

12:22

The real troublemaker was Johann Nepomuk Maximilian von Szymborski from the early 19th century.

https://helenrappaport.com/footnotes/prince-albert-illegitimacy/

12:23

This particularly amuses me. Let's get a Szymborski King of England!

Hungry bear

12:24

Okay to rage drop suarez in shallow 10 teamers??

Dan Szymborski

12:25

I think it's actually possible given the shallowness of the league

SharkCueto

12:25

Which active or retired baseball players do you think have 5+ cats?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

I've heard that Lil' Bedrock is a cat of fans

Zach

12:25

What are the rules for qualification for the fangraphs leaderboard? I can't quite figure out why Tatis doesn't qualify.

Dan Szymborski

12:26

Tatis is ineligible from normal BA qualification rules

32 * 3.1 = 99.2 and Tatis only has 96 PA

12:27

Bigfoot Erotica

12:27

Why is Cavan Biggio swinging at so many more pitches out of the zone now? I really liked his plate discipline coming into the year.

Dan Szymborski

12:28

I believe that with him, there's been an intentional bid for him to be more aggressive at the plate. How much it plays into this is unknown, but it doesn't appear to be working

Julio

12:28

What is up with Gavin Lux? Is this just who he is now? Or is there another level waiting to come out?

Dan Szymborski

12:29

I'd be far from throwing in the towel, but he might need some triple-A time to get back on track

He got very few PA last year in a key developmental season

Tel

12:29

Re: Yankees and changeups - they figured since none of their batters can hit one that it would hold for the rest of the league too.

Dan Szymborski

12:30

That's how the Mets feel when Jacob deGrom pitches!

Tel

12:30

Chapman's doing pretty well this season, FIP of -0.81 and xFIP of -0.16 (which actually went up after his last couple of outings, which included only 4 strikeouts in 2 perfect innings - but one of the other outs was a flyball).

Mister Puppy

12:30

Do you have any idea how teams are valuing John Means in terms of trade value? 3 more years of control if I’m not mistaken, really just depends on how legit other teams believe he is.

Dan Szymborski

12:30

I think he'd fetch a lot in a trade now

At least as much now, as Quintana a few years ago

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