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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/9/16
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Eric Weinstein
12:50
FiveThirtyEight's simulations right now have the Mets finishing up with the second best record in MLB at 93-69. Which is conservative for the second best record in MLB. They have the Cubs finishing up at 107-55. Depth Charts have the Cubs finishing at a measly 101-61. Do you think 116 wins is in play?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:50
Yes. Long shot, but most of the time, it's no shot, so long shot is a pretty big deal.
Copp
12:50
Would you take the over or under on Dae Ho Kim's homerun total for 2016 set at 15.
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:50
Did they meld together?
Jason
12:50
In response to your Prince answer: Don't teams often find reasons for a DL trip when someone is playing so poorly for an extended period of time?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:51
That's trickier than it sounds.
mtsw
12:51
538's wacky new Elo model has the Cubs at 107 wins. Can you say something mean about them? Thanks!
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:51
I like my model better, but 107 wouldn't shock me.
Good god guys, I've answered about 20% of the questions and I'm WAAAAY behind
Yusuf
12:51
Harvey with 6 innings pitched, 10 strikeouts, and touching 97 on his fastball. Safe to say the existential threat posed to the Mets season by his slow start has receded?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:52
I would hope so. Something being truly broken in Harvey again would be bad for baseball
Josh
12:52
Tyler Glasnow makes his MLB debut on _____?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:52
a pitcher's mound.
Josh
12:52
is watching the cubs what it was like to watch the mariners in 2001, but no one noticed because is was seattle?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:52
Seattle's expectations weren't as high. The Cubs did have high expectations!
Night Man
12:52
Steven Matz is a top __ SP in the MLB
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:53
notch
Freese
12:53
What are your thoughts on Avisail Garcia at DH after he's hit .467/.528/.800 the last two weeks?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:54
Meh. Unless someone replaced him with a clone that's good at baseball, I'm skeptical that it's anything but a good two weeks.
mtsw
12:54
In an 80's comedy-like body switch, you find yourself inhabiting AJ Preller's body. How do you fix the Padres without getting fired along the way?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:54
Oh, I'd get fired.
And if Preller's in my body, I'm really sorry dude.
12:55
"Why do I have a beer belly all of a sudden? And why am I covered with cats? Where are all my suits?"
CamdenWarehouse
12:55
What should we make of Zunino's AAA performance in 108 PAs so far?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:56
Certainly a good sign. In hindsight, the M's did rush Zunino too aggressively
SMac
12:56
Did you expect Aaron Nola to be this good this soon?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:56
Not this soon, but I think he's for real
Bears Unite
12:56
So Gattis down. White struggling, AJ Reed time upon us?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:57
As noted above, it's tricky in that he's not really mashing.
BakedBean
12:57
So JBJ is hitting now and is underwhelming defensively. Does this make sense at all? If so, how?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:57
True story: Mickey Tettleton was a defensive prospect coming up.
Do think Betts is the best CF
gladbury creme
12:58
are you worried about David Price?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:58
No
scamp factory
12:58
Hi Dan -- A friend of mine (who is a Red Sox fan) is convinced David Ortiz has been heavily juicing his whole career; I say he would have been caught. What do you think?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:58
Well, there's at least a chance the 2003 drug test leaks were accurate.
12:59
But he's also been tested for a long time, many times
(I don't care about pre-2004 drug use)
And I only care about it from a rules standpoint really - since he hasn't been caught even if he did, I care just as much as if I knew for a face he never did anything
The Dude of NY
1:00
Any idea why ZiPS is so low on Heyward's defense? It projects he'll finish the season with just under 5 DEF, his lowest since 2011.
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