JotCast | Dan Szymborski Fangraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski Fangraphs Chat - 6/10/21

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Dan Szymborski

12:18

no matter the angle, no matter how I use a dummy variable, I can't *ever* get it not rejected in any method of dimensionality reduction

Dan Szymborsnowboard

12:19

Have you read Thinking, Fast and Slow? Law said it’s been required reading in all of MLB front offices. Im three chapters in and I can see why. Follow up question, should Thinking, Fast and Slow replace the Bible?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

I am familiar with it, but I have not personally read it

It would certainly seem to be more useful to a front office than the bible

Guest

12:21

Is Ke'Bryan Hayes already a top 3 third baseman in baseball?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

Too long a bridge for me. I think he's top 10.

But the competition is steep there

12:22

Ramirez, Chapman, Bregman, Rendon, Machado, Moncada. OK, now eliminatee *four*

Jefferson

12:22

Taylor walls is great and I don't ever remember any other Tampa Bay SS prospects any more

Del Martin

12:23

Do Hosmer's intangibles and/or maybe the actual bump he'd get from being DH give him any trade value or are the Padres 100% stuck with him?

Dan Szymborski

12:23

He still has negative trade value.

12:25

He's basically back to being slow Willie Mays Hayes.

Gomber

12:26

Zips had me at 1.2 WAR for season which I’ve already equaled. FG projects me to finish with 2.5. Let’s say I finish with 2 WAR.

Dan Szymborski

12:26

He's been very solid!

Jim Leyland Palmer

12:26

If your Seattle do you go hard for Corey Seager this winter? Have the brother connection of course, and are an emerging team, but they look to be extremely stacked in the OF going forward with very little actual promise for the infield in the system & on the roster. Star young outfielders + Corey Seager would make a lot of noise in a seemingly weak AL West for next few years

Dan Szymborski

12:27

I ahdn't really thought about it, but I actually like it.

a Seager/Crawford middle infield could be fun

Duchess

12:28

What on earth happened to DJLM?

Dan Szymborski

12:29

It's not like he's been AWFUL, but he has been disappointing

Some significant regrerssion was probably inevitable

He's not young

12:30

The ball change is probably not helping him as he wasn't a Stanton pitch crusher dude

and he's underperforming where his BABIP should be a bit

Last I checked (last week) ZiPS thought he should have about 25 more points of BABIP and about 40 more points of ISO from his stats

12:31

That would put him what, somewhere around 270/360/400? That's not horribly below his preaseason projs

Dan

12:31

What hitters or type of hitter (if any) do you think will benefit the most from the new "sticky stuff" enforcement?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

I would think some of the more aggressive swingers

but given MLB's history of blustering and nothing happening, I'm wait-and-see if naything really changes

LFC Mike

12:32

Chili sans beans chat greetings Dan. Will you be updating the Zips 100 Prospect List come mid season? Interested to see how much Vidal Brujan and Jarren Durran have moved up the rankings.

Dan Szymborski

12:32

Yup

Moog Powell

12:32

Please rank the following Chilis:
1.) The country of Chile
2.) The restraunt Chili's
3.) The means of describing temperature as Chilly
4.) The food dish Chili

Dan Szymborski

12:33

4, 3, 1, 2

Bill

12:33

Does FG have data that shows players batting stats when defenses shift versus no shift?

Dan Szymborski

12:33

You can see it in the splits tool!

John

12:33

Hey Dan - After your piece on the twins last week, they look like they are clearly going to sell. What do you think the return on Berrios would be? What if Buxton comes back and returns to the level he was at before, how does that change the market??

Dan Szymborski

12:33

I think they'll get quite a bit for both

12:34

Though neither have enough time left that they would be franchise-altering hauls

Deckard Cain

12:34

Who would you rather have the rest of the season: Judge or Trea?

Dan Szymborski

12:34

Depends what I need!

But very generically, I'm gonna go with teh shrotstop