JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/13/16

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Dan Szymborski

12:16

I actually thought it would happen around this point, but it's a bit of a game of chicken.

The eventual date of Super 2 cutoff is how hard the other guys blink

Jim

12:16

Dan, do you think the NL east is going to stay tight or will the Nats pull away?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

I think it'll be a fairly tight Mets/Nats race

Matt

12:16

Could Freeman and Vizcaino get a return of Reed, Bregman, and Derek Fisher?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

Big Joe Montferrant

12:17

If a player randomly shows up 5 days before the draft (he is eligible) and throws 105 MPH and spins a good breaking ball at a showcase. How high would he get picked, even though no one saw him vs live hitters or has any stats on him? (Lets assume he showed good command and is 6'4 with a good delivery, and is 19 y/o)

Dan Szymborski

12:17

Won't get picked highly, but anybody with a 105 MPH fastball will be picked.

Outta my way, Gyorkass

12:17

What the heck is wrong with the Pirates pitching? Has the Searage magic run out?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

Some of the Eiland magic is wearing off too. I think Frodo destroyed Selig's One Ring and now the the rings given to the elf-pitchingcoachlords are losing their power.

sam son

12:18

Do you hear any rumors of Tetsuto Yamada being posted this fall? Guy just keeps hitting, 20 home runs and 16 stolen bases

Dan Szymborski

12:18

Certainly interesting, but I'm not connected at all when it comes to NPB sources, so your guess is as good as mine really

Tony

12:20

Daniel Murphy finally coming back down to Earth?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

Well, it was inevitable

Rob

12:20

If the White Sox miss the playoffs, winning only 78 to 80 games, do they blow this up finally and try do a full rebuild this winter? They should, right??

Dan Szymborski

12:21

They might need to at that point - even if the White Sox said "OK, let's add $50 million of payroll this winter" it's not a good year to do that.

Q-Ball

12:21

Cubs and Nationals square off in a series starting today. Are these the 2 top teams in baseball right now?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

Not unreasonable, but there are some arguments for Red SOx, Cards at 2

rustydude

12:22

Who won the fisticuffs tournament of past Presidents? Did I miss the final coupla rounds or has this been suspended?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

I just haven't gotten around to doing the final four!

TheDudeofNY

12:22

Can ZiPS do projections for draft picks?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

It can but the error bars are huge.

Outta my way, Gyorkass

12:22

Choose one: A) You could never drink another craft beer in your life or B) you had to get plunked by one MLB fastball a week for the rest of your life.

Dan Szymborski

12:23

A. I'd actually keep weight off, so it might not be the worst thing in the world.

If I'm not drinking for a month -- sometimes happens if my GERD is acting up -- I literally drop 20 pounds right there.

Sean P

12:24

Were the Cubs doing Coghlan a favor by reaquiring him for Alcantara? Or did they see value in the trade? I would've thought Alcantara was worth more than that

Dan Szymborski

12:24

Alcantara's 2015 really cut down his value.

Gerb

12:24

Since 2014 Corey Kluber has accumulated the most WAR of any AL pitcher. He is 2nd in the AL in pitcher WAR in 2016 so far. Am I wrong in saying it still seems doubtfull that he will make his first all star game this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

Yeah, his standard numbers aren't *obviously* awesome and statheads aren't picking the teams.

Bork

12:25

Is this gonna be a meh year for deadline trades? Biggest names so far are Lucroy and (insert Yankees bullpen pitcher here).

Dan Szymborski

12:25

I think a meh year is likely

Big Joe Montferrant

12:26

The Braves selected a player named Handsome Monica in the draft... Best name since ___________?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

I think Dash Winningham is still better.

TengoPreguntas

12:26

Why do you Yankees fans think they are going to get an decent organization's #1 prospect for Chapman?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

Unfamiliarity with their team rebuilding

TheDudeofNY

12:27

Adam Warren was a ZiPS darling, but he's been below replacement level by both fWAR and bWAR. Has anyone used this as evidence that your formula biased towards the Cubs? If not, can I get in on the ground floor?

Dan Szymborski

12:27

He was doing so well and then BOOM

Todd

12:27

T or F- Jeff Sullivan looks best of all the FG writers shirtless.

Dan Szymborski

12:27

Haven't seen them all.

Though I suspect Carson has the Eye of Sauron when shirtless

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