JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/13/24

Dan Szymborski

12:01

It's a chat!

David

12:01

Dan-is there anything in the numbers that shows what is wrong with the Braves right now? A cursory look makes it seem like the metrics of this year and last year are relative close.

Dan Szymborski

12:02

Well, a number of hitters are underperforming! Olson, the injured Acuña, and Riley all had prominent spots in the zstats update I posted yesterday

Tacoby Bellsbury

12:02

What baseball player archetype corresponds to each of your cats at this stage in their careers?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

Oh geez, I'm not sure

12:04

Mercutio's kind of Fernando Rodney-y. Constantine's kind of moody

I'm not sure how it work though

Tjf167

12:05

Are you looking forward to the Rickwood Field game?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

I think it should be fun. I dig special event games

Joe

12:05

i've seen triple slash lines on a pitcher's individual pitch- for example, Chris Sale's slider .190/.230/.401- and what does the OBP represent? I can understand how a single pitch could have an AVG and SLG, but what does OBP mean?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

presumably that's the pitch they walk on? I don't see OBP for pitches that often

Tjf167

12:06

Crochet and the Orioles feels like the deadline move that makes the most sense. I would assume it would have to be painful from the Orioles side - how much would you be willing to part with?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

I'd give up Mayo or Norby. I would not give up Holliday

Tjf167

12:06

Is the most underrated aspect of Aaron Judge's performance this year that he's a 32 year old 290 pound man who's play a plus defensive center field?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

It coudl very well be.

12:07

The fact that he's even competent out there given how big a dude he is is just amazing

He doesn't need to be prime Kiermaier to be impressive

12:08

Like if I woke up one day and found a cat playing the cello, I wouldn't be disappointed if the cat is inferior to, say, Jacqueline du Pré.

I guess Samoa Joe is in the same category?

Guest

12:08

The Giants could use a left handed bat for their lineup. Who would be a realistic target. Jazz maybe?

Dan Szymborski

12:09

That's actually an interesting idea, but problem is, I have no feel for how the Marlins are thinking

outside of an intense fear every time they have to pay money for something

Tjf167

12:09

I ask this question often and no one ever has the answer- how come there is not analysis on the correlation of exit velocity and bat brand/make? We obsess about the stitches on the ball, but no one ever talks about the different bats. Why?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

I think because we have even less information about the bats than the balls, thanks to the latter being allegedly standardized

12:11

I'm sure if people start shipping Meredith Wills a bunch of game-used bats she'd find something interesting

Mr. Flask

12:11

If you could travel back in time to see a game (just a normal game) at a now-gone MLB stadium, which one would you choose, and why?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

I'd love to see the Polo Grounds just because the weird configuration of the park makes such a different game

Playing in it in MLB the Show has made me want that

roderick

12:12

Awhile back there was talk about Blue Jays management preferring contact over power. Could that explain Vladdy's extreme groundball approach and lack of pulled flyballs? I need hope

Dan Szymborski

12:12

It COULD be, but I'm not privy to the private conversations they have

I talk to front offices quite a bit, but I'm always aware that what they tell me is incomplete

wingedbeater

12:12

Rank your confidence in ZIPS’s general ability to predict the following: (1) age-related decline for an MLB position player, (2) age-related decline for an MLB pitcher; (3) MLB success of an MiLB position player prospect, (4) MLB success of an MiLB pitching prospect, (5) MLB success of an IFA position player transferring from a non-US professional league, (6) MLB success of an IFA pitcher transferring from a non-US professional league

Dan Szymborski

12:12

About that order!

Maddie

12:14

Hey Dan. Some quick questions on some Giants prospects:

How concerned are you about Luciano's defense?
Is it worth playing Matos over Yaz or Slater right now?
How sustainable is Heliot Ramos' early season success?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

A lot of Heliot's improvement is likely real, the projection systems have all moved up like 25-35ish points of OPS for ROS

12:15

Though he just missed the zStats chart for OPS; zStats has him at .264/.353/.447, meaning there's likely some air at least pumped into his current numbers. But the thing is, .264/.353/.447 in itself is damn good in this offensive environment in SF

Juan

12:15

On a scale from 1 to Astros, where would you rate Baltimore's rebuild up to this point?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

They still have to show, past Burnes, that they're willing to go over the top

and we still have to see if they can keep the team together

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