JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/24/2019

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/24/2019

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brad nj

12:38

Dan, thoughts on Rodgers so far in his call up? Do you see him adjusting and fulfilling his elite prospect status at the MLB Level?

Dan Szymborski

12:38

I'm optimistic about Rodgers

12:39

I was a little worried that the Rockies being the Rockies, they' have Rodgers in some stupid time-share with Valaika.

But I'm more optimistic now that they won't do that

Elfuego

12:40

How different will the A's rotation look in the second half the season?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

Well, no Montas obviously

Luzardo should be up fairly quickly

12:41

I mean, he has to be, right?

12:42

HOnestly, I can see Jefferies popping up

Matt

12:42

I appreciate you finally pausing the chat for me, but I only needed 10 minutes, Dan. Too long.

Morbo

12:42

Pujols' return to St. Louis was something to behold. I've never seen a visiting player receive a curtain call before

Dan Szymborski

12:43

It was cool.

Probably his last real career highlight.

cool

1

mb

12:43

You have much hope in Julio Urias starting some games?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

The Dodgers are going to continue to be real careful.

And given the division, there's no reason right notw to be aggressive

Magic Kingdome

12:44

Forget the Rays and A's -- which team is third most likely to move in the future?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

Marlins

Sweetie Pie

12:45

Is Matt Beaty the next success story for the LADs? Does he have a path to playing time?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

I still think he's role player trajectory

Davis

12:45

Is the Mexican League actually as good as the PCL and IL?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

No

Jon

12:45

So how many bombs does Yordan Alvarez have to hit before he becomes our new dark overlord in life now?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

He isn't already?

PM

12:46

Do you remember the first time you looked a zips projection and immediately assumed your math was wrong somewhere? if so who was the player

Dan Szymborski

12:46

Jose Molina the time it spit out a .750 BA

And it was wrong there was a bad number in there.

Psweeting

12:46

When you look at zips projections, does it model all players as a bell curve? I can imagine Jose Ramirez as having two peaks, where he's either meh again or an MVP candidate again, but maybe lower probably of him being average.

Dan Szymborski

12:46

No

ZiPS does not use any standardized curves.

There's no distribution fitting.

12:47

Sorry, trying to think of a non-parametric joke.

kd

12:47

Unless I am way off, why isn't Palka up for the CWS and playing DH against right-handed pitching? Or, at worst, playing an outfield spot against right-handed pitching. I think it is safe to say that he has his timing back at AAA (over .900 OPS in 250 at bats).

Dan Szymborski

12:48

I'm surprised he isn't already. They're starting Tilson/Cordell, for criminey socks.

pelkey

12:48

i have to work in 10 minutes :(

jim

12:49

What do you think of Eloy so far this season? His numbers look good since returning from IL.

Dan Szymborski

12:50

I think he's been fine, the problem is defensively. I'd have to check to verify (I hadn't thought about it), but it feels like he's been too aggressive first pitch-wise.

jim

12:50

Are you becoming far less impressed by rookies doing well with people like Riley, Alonso, Alvarez, Tatis, etc all mashing out of the gate this year & Acuna, Soto, Judge, etc in the past couple years?
If so, what does that say about Vlad's disappointing rookie season so far (if anything)

Dan Szymborski

12:50

I haven't been jaded. Well, on this.

(not that) James

12:50

Oddly enough, Mighty Buffer was the name of my college ska band.

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